Objective
AG2020 will use an innovative scenario method to develop a range of policy scenarios that can meet EU targets of sustainability (economic, regional development, environment, and food safety and quality). Key indicators of these targets will be identified a nd used to assess the influence of world market developments in a range of policy scenarios both at the global level, and specifically for the EU.
To perform the analysis on an EU regional basis a number of case studies will be carried out representing the geographical variation and different challenges of agriculture. The analysis will incorporate findings and expertise of other foresight exercises on both national, EU and international level. The foresight methodology developed in this analysis is innovative because it allows the combination of qualitative knowledge and quantitative data so the conclusions from the individual analysis (WPs) can be converge into a variety of policy scenarios.
Further more the methodology allow for a sensitivity analysis on a regional basis, which so far has not been possible in the agriculture sector. Objectives: -to develop a foresight methodology enabling the study of the various types of agricultural systems and their specific challenges and constraints -to identify and a nalyse trends and influential factors (by use of participatory approaches) that may influence the possible future developments of EU agriculture in the various countries -to develop strategic policy scenarios (backcasting) based on the identified major dri vers of change for the impact assessment of the probable and desirable future directions of agriculture, including multifunctionality of rural areas and emergence of new agricultural exporting regions for the effective enforcement of the proposed alternative sets of policies -to develop indicators of EU sustainability targets in order to evaluate the different policies on a regional basis
Fields of science
Keywords
Call for proposal
FP6-2005-SSP-5-A
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