
Innovate or decline: why businesses will either change or fail in the new networked economy
The new business paradigms
Different contexts, different responses
Europe and the Fifth Framework Programme: strength through differentiation
From the smallest village store to the largest multinational enterprise, from the oldest established business to the latest start-up, all businesses are affected by the changes that accompany the development of a networked economy. In some places and some market sectors changes are already highly visible. In other places and sectors the changes are more subtle and may not yet have been noticed by many businesses. In some places the changes may not have much impact for several years. Change is made certain by a number of distinct but interrelated factors that are outside the control of businesses, governments and institutions. The main factors include:Such changes are not new - indeed the pattern of change and even its direction can be traced back for centuries. What is different at the turn of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries is the pace of change. The kind of change that formerly took thirty or forty years - or much longer - to trickle through from inception to widespread impact can now occur in a few years. In some sectors market change occurs on the basis of months or even weeks rather than years. A change that takes thirty years is effectively invisible - we as individuals (managers, employees) do not notice the changes in terms of their impact on our everyday business activities and environment. Today's changes have a distinct and noticeable impact. As a simple example, in 1997, with the exception of a few specialist suppliers almost no advertising in Europe mentioned the Internet or any form of electronic communication with the advertiser; by 1999 in many European countries a high proportion of advertising across the spectrum from consumer goods to business services carries the advertiser's Web address.
Superficially, this proliferation of websites might be taken to indicate an underlying change in business activities and practices. Sadly, this is not the case. A very high proportion of organisations have "added on" a website and the visible signs of e-commerce activities to their existing operations but without seriously contemplating - let alone implementing - substantial change within the organisation or in its general approach to relationships and markets. Most of the real change and innovation is contained within a relatively small number of (mainly) new businesses or arms length investments by existing businesses. Many of the "add on" websites are very shallow in content and only lightly connected to the main business.
While there are many factors associated with this superficiality of approach, the most significant factor is a lack of personal engagement with and understanding of the new networked environment by both key executive decision-makers and operational line managers. The new environment is different in subtle as well as obvious ways - it has to be experienced to be understood. This chapter explores the main changes listed above in terms of five "new business paradigms". The discussion and conclusions are rooted in both direct experience of implementing and sustaining a large network of cooperating websites with support from the ACTS project European Telework Development (ETD), and in close observation of a wide range of web and e-commerce activities. Flexible working methods pervade and are influenced by each of the new paradigms. In each case some examples are given; the full spectrum of opportunities and technologies is covered elsewhere in this book.

Response to the well-connected customer
There are two obvious responses to the well-connected customer:
Both responses can be enhanced through new flexible working methods and networking technologies. For example, we can provide live contact on demand, using email, voice or video, using customer service teams in different time zones to provide extended hours or even 7/7, 365/365 response or by using home based staff to respond to out of hours calls at times of low demand without the staff needing to travel in to an otherwise deserted office building.
It is important to emphasise that the shift from "being managed and supervised" to self-management is still far from general. Many individuals - even in the most progressive enterprises - still prefer the more sheltered environment of doing a "steady job", working regular hours, doing what is expected of them. But across society and work as a whole the trend is clearly towards a higher proportion of self-actualists who prefer (and are more effective through) self-management. The pace of the trend depends on the industry sector and to some extent on geography: it is faster in countries that have a tradition of more lightly regulated labour markets, which often coincides with a society in which individualism is more highly prized. Workers' individual propensity to welcome self-management also depends on local (sectoral or geographic) levels of employment - where unemployment is high, people are more inclined to cling to the security of "old practices". But the model is very clear in the newer, trend-setting occupations and in areas or sectors of high employment and shortage of skills; where these lead the rest of industry will follow, over time.
Response to the unchained workforce
The whole idea of flexible working is at least partly a response to the idea of an unchained workforce. If workers have to be motivated rather than supervised, why should they not decide for themselves where and when to work as well as what to do on a day to day, hour to hour basis? This approach may be disliked and rejected by some managers and by some workers. It needs two-way trust - trust by the manager that an employee who is not physically present really is getting the job done; trust by the employee that being out of sight will not mean being left out of career opportunities, important gossip, or social connection with colleagues. It also needs all the people in the enterprise to understand and support the enterprise's business goals and to connect their own success to the success of the business - fully flexible working cannot coexist with old-style "them and us" styles of management or industrial relations. When these basics are achieved, self-motivated, self-managing people deliver better results for the business as well as being better able to manage the relationship between work and other aspects of life.
Open communications within the enterprise is an important element of trust-building, as well as being important in ensuring that everyone shares a common understanding of the enterprise's goals and priorities. New network technologies play an essential part in open and effective communications, especially in the context of managers and staff who no longer occupy the same physical space from 9 to 5.
For existing businesses a major challenge of the new environment is that new forms of competition can emerge very rapidly as innovators and entrepreneurs take advantage of the assetless enterprise concept to build businesses with national, regional or global reach very quickly and with a minimum of investment in conventional assets and machinery. In information-oriented sectors such businesses can challenge in both production and distribution. In sectors with more tangible products the newcomer can transform marketing, sales and distribution methods.
Increased dependence on "knowledge and know how" raises interesting questions of ownership and valuation - we can own the desk someone sits at and the systems they use, but we cannot own the person - who may announce at any time that they are leaving to work for another company or to become self-employed.
Response to the shift from tangible assets to know-how assets
There are three main responses:
Networking technologies and systems are the basis of knowledge management. Only when an enterprise and all its knowledge workers are effectively networked can we hope to start the process of knowledge sharing and knowledge accumulation. Some organisations have already implemented enterprise-wide networking (e-mail, web and other information sharing methods) before starting on knowledge management; others commit to a knowledge management strategy and implement or enhance their electronic networking systems and practices to support this. Either way, effective enterprise-wide electronic networking is an essential element of any enterprise's response to the new networked economy.
Networking methods are also at the heart of effective, low cost innovation watch, the results of which are, of course, added to the corporate knowledge base!
Response to value reversal
What is happening is a shift in our understanding of values. Instead of customers providing money, they are providing their time and attention or information about themselves and their activities. The new value generated is almost always intangible. The balance of values shifts from tangible in favour of intangible. The new network technologies enable this shift to be applied in new ways that can have a sharp impact on markets. Traditionally a particular product or service has a market price that stays within a narrow range of values - the market has had low-price suppliers and premium-price suppliers but the difference has usually been marginal. Today we see much wider gaps opening up - the low-price level becomes zero or near-zero or "dressed up as zero", while the premium price may well remain where it was. Value reversal has a potential impact in every sector of business and of public services. All businesses should be at least aware of the possibilities so that innovation - when it arises - will not be a total shock. Entrepreneurial managers and businesses should think through their own chain of values - from production to consumption - and consider how the informational values created or unlocked by networked connections between customers, products and makers can be used to innovate in their own market.

Response to infinite variety
History - and today's businesses - abound with examples of people and organisations resisting change or apprehensive about the potential effects of change. But the history of technological and marketing innovation shows that innovation is almost always accompanied and followed by growth, and that most innovations expand the range of choices rather than displacing existing methods. We still use pencils and paper, a century after the introduction of the typewriter and half a century into the information technology era. But innovation does favour the innovator and does put new pressure on the business that watches innovation rather than welcoming and embracing it. The key response to proliferating innovation and apparently infinite variety is to:
Becoming an effectively networked enterprise is one of the keys to innovation in management and marketing. The networked enterprise is more aware of change, responds faster to change and to new ideas, and is more resilient to shocks.

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Contextual differences in European Union countries | |||||
|
Agriculture |
Services |
Information workers |
Self-employed |
SMEs | |
|
% of economy (GDP) |
% of workforce |
% of companies | |||
|
EU Highest |
21 |
73 |
54 |
34 |
86 |
|
EU Lowest |
2 |
56 |
24 |
8 |
56 |
Source: European Telework Development
In business - and in the policies and programmes of governments - it is essential to condition our response to the new networked economy and its technologies in ways that reflect the local context. The five new business paradigms depicted above reflect a worldwide set of developments, but each of them must be taken in the particular context of an enterprise, an organisation, a country or a region. The context for this book is European, and particularly Europe's Fourth and Fifth Framework Programmes for research and technological development. Europe is a region of very wide differentiation. Europe as a whole differs considerably from the USA as an environment for the networked economy; countries within Europe differ considerably as local environments; and regions within a country can also differ considerably. Analysis by European Telework Development (above table) highlights the extent of these differences.
Although the networked economy is so often called a "global" phenomenon, most companies' existing operations deal with customers in a relatively small geographical area. The challenge of "going online" looks very different for a financial services business in Frankfurt which already deals on a world wide basis, compared with a small consumer retailing business in Ferreira do Alentejo, whose only experience of foreigners is the occasional tourist taking back roads from Lisbon to the Algarve. A further ETD analysis points up the differences in the nature of the "online opportunity" dependent on the geographical characteristics of a company's existing and potential markets.
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Local differences in networked economy opportunities | ||||
|
IT as % of GDP |
IT per capita (ECU) |
Business PCs per 100 white collars |
PCs per 100 population | |
|
USA |
4.53 |
1075 |
105 |
46 |
|
Japan |
2.61 |
745 |
241 | |
|
12 | ||||
|
Western Europe |
2.342 |
4603 |
55 |
17 |
|
EU highest |
3.45 |
803 |
84 |
33 |
|
EU lowest |
0.88 |
84 |
34 |
84 |
|
1 The low level of PCs in Japanese business is to do with both culture (lower use of written communications than in Western businesses) and technology (belated introduction and acceptance of simple ways of keyboarding a version of Japanese characters. In recent years PC use in Japan has accelerated sharply and, as shown by the table, general levels of ICT investment are higher than the average of Western European countries.2, 3 Both IT per capita and IT as a % of GDP have been lower in Europe than in the USA or Japan since EITO started reporting these data, indicating that differences in intensity of use of ICTs are increasing rather than reducing.4 The number of PCs per 100 population is a reasonable measure of the general opportunity for companies and public services to adopt online methods for direct-to-the-home consumer-oriented marketing and services in the local economy | ||||
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Source: European Telework Development, (derived from EITO, 1999) | ||||
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Local differences in networked economy opportunities | ||||
Clearly, there is a world of difference in the opportunities facing an enterprise based in a place with an average of 8 PCs per head of population and those where penetration is six times higher.
A further issue is the varying ability of organisations to cope with change. Work in the Network of Centres of Competence in Electronic Commerce presents the dilemma for smaller firms in a graphical way (Figure 3). Here are just four of the many ways a company might (or should!) respond; it is likely that messages from government, from intermediaries and from advisers are urging several or all of these (and more) concurrently:

No small firm has the management capacity and resilience to drive successfully into all of these plausible strategies concurrently; indeed the same is true of many large enterprises!
Given these very substantial differences in the underlying market environments of companies, and the differences in their abilities to respond, what kinds of guidance can be offered? Further work in the Network of Centres of Competence suggests an approach to analysing the position of a particular organisation.
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Enterprise preparedness for online innovation | ||
|
Constraint indicator |
Opportunity indicator | |
|
Strength of existing business? |
Struggling, serious problems |
Buoyant, profitable |
|
Existing market geography? |
Very local |
Strong export orientation |
|
Existing market Internet penetration |
Low |
High |
|
Potential market geography? |
Very local (personal service) |
Global |
|
Management capacity to cope with change? |
Low, conservative |
High, change oriented |
|
Cultural embeddedness of product line 1 |
Culturally intense |
Culturally neutral |
|
ICT experience |
Low, no computers |
Extensive, actively networking |
|
1 Some products and services can be marketed across cultural boundaries with little or no modification to the product or the marketing effort; examples are primarily in the business-to-business domain. For other products (particularly some kinds of consumer items), either the product or the marketing effort must be culturally adapted. An example of cultural adaptation of a product is the provision of keyboards and associated character sets supporting the "azerty" layout and French accents, as compared with the "qwerty" layout of keyboards used in most English language countries. | ||
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Source: Centres of Competence workshop, 1998 | ||
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Indicators that assist diagnosis of appropriate responses by smaller firms | ||
The fact that the analysis for a particular business shows all or mainly constraints on the indicators should not be taken to suggest no action with regard to the networked economy. There may well be opportunities for the business to address its constraints and problems using networked economy methods. However, low ratings in the table do suggest very strongly that the business should avoid "doing the obvious", as recommended by the plethora of books, pamphlets and online advice exhorting companies to "get on the web" and develop e-commerce capabilities. A very high proportion of this advice derives from the USA experience, which is quite different from the situation in most European countries and indeed most countries world wide. Local advisors need to think creatively about the realities of the networked economy from their local perspective and tune their advice to those realities.
The difference between USA and European ICT investment levels is very widely misinterpreted. Many commentators suggest that Europe is "a couple of years behind" and that what happens in the USA today will be reflected in Europe tomorrow. The data show very clearly that this is not the case. Some European countries are close to or even ahead of the USA in their use of PCs and in their level of Internet take-up, but their local approach to and use of the Internet is not a simple parallel to the USA, it reflects cultural as well as economic differences. Other European countries are much, much more than "a couple of years" behind. Economic differences mean that there is no serious possibility of these countries "catching up" or even reducing the gap, even if this were to be a desirable outcome. This is also true for Europe as a whole - the USA continues to invest twice as much per head of population compared with Europe. Enlargement of the European Union will introduce new countries whose per capita investment capacity is below the current EU average, further increasing the difference between Europe and the USA. The difference is endemic; it will not be bridged by either natural market forces or government intervention. Fortunately, this does not mean that Europe cannot do as well or even better than the USA in adapting to and capitalising on the emergence of a networked economy. The obvious conclusion from the data is that the basis of success for Europe must lie in differentiation not emulation of the USA experience. Europe has excellent capacity to innovate; we should apply that capacity to differentiation. Considering the future of the global networked economy, the differences between countries within Europe can become a strength rather than a weakness. As well as regions such as North America with higher per capita investment capacity, there are many parts of the world with much lower per capita incomes and spending power. These countries and their citizens need and will buy into the networked economy, but their approach will (of necessity) be different according to their economic strength and their local cultures and societies. Europe, as a Union and single market of countries that vary considerably in cultures and economic strength, is a good exemplar and testbed for differentiated approaches to the networked economy in terms of both technology requirements and the commercial and social applications of technologies.
It is impossible (and undesirable) for European technology developers and decision makers to ignore the USA experience, which currently dominates the online environment and the design and supply of some of the technologies. Europe must closely observe and learn from that experience, and be prepared to emulate when emulation is appropriate. But Europe must also observe and analyse in order to differentiate. Excellent experience of different responses to the networked economy has been gained through the Fourth Framework Programme by including researchers and users from across the spectrum of economies and cultures. However, the emphasis has usually been on finding commonalities ("cohesion" and "consensus" to use the Eurojargon) rather than investigating and analysing differences. It is essential to Europe's success as a provider as well as user of networked economy solutions that the Fifth Framework Programme pays much more attention to differentiation. This means a focus on lower cost technologies and products as well as higher performance; this emphasis is not naturally attractive to research and development organisations and needs to be forced through. It means looking for differences in the response to technology from different communities; this is not naturally attractive to the developer who wishes to prove that his new system is widely applicable - again the focus on differentiation needs to be forced through. The same applies to implementation strategies and programmes - national and local governments need to find ways to make their programmes "appropriately different" rather than emulating or excelling each other's programmes.
In order to be "different" one has to answer the question, "different from what?" The idea of strength through differentiation place more rather than less emphasis on three aspects of technology development and deployment:
If European governments and enterprises accept and understand the need for differentiation and the opportunities it presents, there is plenty of scope for Europe to play a central (and profitable) role in the evolution of the global networked economy. In global terms (and across much of Europe) the game has only just begun!
The next section of this document: Developing a Reference Model for Networked Flexible Work through Industry Trials