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Content archived on 2024-05-28

Performance and usefulness of CLImate predictions: Beyond current liMITationS

Objective

"Over the past 25 years, the modeling community achieved steady progress in dynamical climate predictions, with skill level that is now considered useful for some societal applications at the seasonal time-scale. However, major factors such as coupled models errors, initialization strategies and unconstrained physical parameterizations are still substantially limiting predictability, particularly over land areas. Long-term improvements in climate predictions must necessarily come by (i) improved understanding and description of the physical processes through dedicated process studies and observations. In the meanwhile, (ii) the multi-model approach can be used combining the imperfect models available to enhance predictions. Progresses in both objectives (i) and (ii) need more international collaborative efforts.
By implementing collaboration between European and Asian-Pacific climate prediction communities, this project will largely contribute to objective (ii). In fact, five European and seven Asian Pacific climate prediction systems will be collected to form a grand multi-model. The maximum level of multi-model prediction performance currently attainable will be assessed and innovative techniques will be developed in order to evaluate achievable and attained forecast skill over land and the related multi-model capability to enhance usefulness.
The project will contribute to objective (i) by improving land surface-vegetation representation in at least one of the multi-model components (i.e: IPRC global climate model). In particular, effort will be made on assessing the impact of improved land surface on simulation and prediction of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and then, in turn, on those of Euro-Mediterranean climate during boreal summer, which is related to global teleconnection patterns emanating from the ISM."

Topic(s)

Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.

Call for proposal

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FP7-PEOPLE-2011-IOF
See other projects for this call

Funding Scheme

Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.

MC-IOF - International Outgoing Fellowships (IOF)

Coordinator

AGENZIA NAZIONALE PER LE NUOVE TECNOLOGIE, L'ENERGIA E LO SVILUPPO ECONOMICO SOSTENIBILE
EU contribution
€ 178 760,70
Address
LUNGOTEVERE GRANDE AMMIRAGLIO THAON DI REVEL 76
00196 Roma
Italy

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Region
Centro (IT) Lazio Roma
Activity type
Research Organisations
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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

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