Objective
EARLINESS.eu proposes a new European early warning system (EWS), able to identify and signal economic vulnerabilities in order to allow policy makers to intervene in a timely manner. The ongoing European financial crisis poses a serious challenge to the stability of the euro area and growth prospects in Europe. The aim of the EARLINESS.eu project is to implement a EWS for systemic risk to prevent and mitigate financial instability by exploiting the linkages among the financial markets and the real economy. Given the potentially high and unsustainable costs caused by systemic crises, it is of fundamental importance to establish a comprehensive system of early warning signals and indicators to monitor them. Recent studies suggest that empirical analysis should focus on the macroeconomic and financial shocks transmission across countries, allowing for nonlinear propagation of these shocks. The innovative purpose of EARLINESS is to fill this gap by modelling nonlinear interactions between the financial market and the macroeconomic system. The main challenge is the realization of a comprehensive system able to detect and measure each marginal change in the sources of systemic risk by developing an innovative building block structure. A novel Dynamic Quantile Factors model is introduced to extract the latent signal of systemic risks at micro and macro level from a panel of institutions belonging to the European area and partner countries. The project uses state-of-the-art systemic risk measures and integrates new methodologies in financial econometrics, systemic risk measurement and big data analysis tools. According to the Macroprudential Research Network of the ECB, the implementation of macroprudential policy is still at an early stage and much effort is needed to support policymakers in designing mechanisms for prudential tools. The EARLINESS project can deliver an important contribution to this.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: https://op.europa.eu/en/web/eu-vocabularies/euroscivoc.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: https://op.europa.eu/en/web/eu-vocabularies/euroscivoc.
- social sciences economics and business economics econometrics
- natural sciences computer and information sciences data science big data
- natural sciences mathematics pure mathematics topology
- social sciences economics and business economics monetary and finances
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Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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H2020-EU.1.3. - EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions
MAIN PROGRAMME
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H2020-EU.1.3.2. - Nurturing excellence by means of cross-border and cross-sector mobility
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Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
MSCA-IF-EF-ST - Standard EF
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) H2020-MSCA-IF-2015
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
60323 FRANKFURT AU MAIN
Germany
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.