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Impact of climatic change on northwestern Mediterranean deltas

Cel

To develop a coupled physico-ecological conceptual model to
assess the vulnerability of the three main NW Mediterranean
deltas (Ebro, Po and Rhône) to climate change scenarios and their
response to various management and intervention options.


The management and intervention options will be derived from
global climatic change (at the Mediterranean regional scale) and
socio-economic considerations.

This research work is divided into three parts:

a) Deltaic fringe and plain system analysis supported by field
data. The aim is to further the understanding of the
medium/long-term behaviour of these deltaic systems by: 1)
Compiling and analysing existing field data and 2) Carrying out
field campaigns to fill the most important gaps detected.

From both the already existing and newly recorded data, the
following information will be derived:

A reference situation for the deltaic fringe (to be able to get
sense from forecasts of the deltaic nearshore behaviour), the
variability (natural and man-induced by e.g. river flow
regulation or coastal interventions) of factors contributing to
the sediment budget, effects of rising water levels on wetland
vegetation for the areas in which vertical accretion rates are
smaller than relative sea-level rise rates, inorganic and organic
matter requirements to maintain the land elevation as a function
of present and future trends of RSLR.

b) Deltaic fringe and plain system analysis supported by
modelling. The aim is to develop linked physical and ecological
system descriptions to: 1) Increase the understanding of deltaic
dynamics, particularly at long-time scales, from both physical
(hydrodynamics, sediment transport and morphodynamics) and
ecological (dynamics of wetlands, aquatic habitats and
agriculture) standpoints, 2) build up a conceptual model of
deltaic dynamics based on the field data compiled and registered
during the project. This conceptual model will evolve as much as
possible into a suite of numerical sub-models simulating the
deltaic fringe and plain response to changing boundary conditions
at large spatial and temporal scales, and 3) analyse the
effectiveness of a number of intervention or management
scenarios, based on the observed response to changing boundary
conditions.

c) Landscape integrated conceptual model: socio-economic and
environmental components. The main aims of this part of the
project are: 1) To identify the possible direct links between
socio-economic components and physical and ecological components,
2) to assess the socio-economic impact of the various long-term
scenarios considered, and 3) to help developing the enhancement
and mitigation measures needed to cope with the predicted
physical and ecological trends.

The results are intended to provide valuable information for
integrated, comprehensive approaches to determine whether
management plans are sustainable.

Zaproszenie do składania wniosków

Data not available

System finansowania

CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Koordynator

UNIVERSITAT POLITECNICA DE CATALUNYA
Wkład UE
Brak danych
Adres
1-3,C/ Jordi Girona, Salgado 1-3 Mod. D-1
08034 BARCELONA
Hiszpania

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Koszt całkowity
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Uczestnicy (8)