Obiettivo To develop and to improve global coupled ocean atmosphere climate models, to simulate the anthropogenic climate change using these models, and to diagnose the effect of the anthropogenic climate change as simulated by the models and to assess the uncertainties. The present and future climate will be simulated with a hierarchy of global coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models, which are developed at the different institutes participating in the project. The use of different models and simulations carried out at the different institutes is essential in order to identify the model dependency of the results, and also because the simulations are so costly that each institution can only perform a limited number. Many experiments are needed to assess the variability and significance of the simulations. With these model experiments it will be investigated, how large the natural variability of the climate is and to what extent mankind has already influenced the present day climate. It will be studied how the anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols will influence the future climate. This analysis will not only be confined to primary quantities (like near-surface temperature change, sea level rise), but also to important climate parameters, such as storm-frequency, hurricance frequency, daily temperature range, length and frequency of droughts. Furthermore, advanced statistical techniques will be employed to estimate, what degree of confidence can be assigned to the model simulations, and to what extent observed climate variations can be tributed to anthropogenic emissions or to natural fluctuations of the climate system (fingerprint analysis). The project will give information about the future climate change and the reliability of this prediction. Particular emphasis is placed on the intercomparison of the results from the different modelling groups participating in this project. It will provide valuable input for regional modelling, for impact research and for the planning of future observing systems (GCOS). Its results will enter the IPCC's climate change assessment as well as the reports of similar national committees. The simulations will be compared not only with the results of the other groups involved in this EC-project, but also with simulations done worldwide within the CLIVAR and CMIP frameworks. Campo scientifico natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes Programma(i) FP4-ENV 2C - Specific programme of research and technological development in the field of environment and climate, 1994-1998 Argomento(i) 010103 - Climate variability, simulation of climate and prediction of climate change Invito a presentare proposte Data not available Meccanismo di finanziamento CSC - Cost-sharing contracts Coordinatore Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum GmbH Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo 55,Bundesstrasse 20146 Hamburg Germania Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato Partecipanti (9) Classifica in ordine alfabetico Classifica per Contributo UE Espandi tutto Riduci tutto CENTRE EUROPEEN DE RECHERCHE ET DE FORMATION AVANCEE EN CALCUL SCIENTIFIQUE Francia Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo Avenue Gaspard Coriolis 42 31057 TOULOUSE Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE Francia Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo 10-12,Boulevard Vauban, 47 78047 GUYANCOURT Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato Electricité de France (EDF) Francia Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo 6 Quai Watier 78401 Chatou Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato GERMAN AEROSPACE CENTRE Germania Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo Muenchener Strasse 20, Oberpfaffernhofen 82234 WESSLING Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FOERDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN E.V. Germania Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo Bundesstra¯e 55 20146 HAMBURG Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato SECRETARY OF STATE FOR DEFENCE - MINISTRY OF DEFENCE Regno Unito Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo Fitzroy Road, Metz Office EX1 3PB EXETER Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato SWISS FEDERAL INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY ZUERICH Svizzera Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo 190,Winterthurerstrasse 190 8057 ZURICH Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato UNIVERSITAET KOELN Germania Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo Zuelpicher Str. 49 50674 KOELN Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN Belgio Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo 2,Chemin du Cyclotron 2 1348 LOUVAIN-LA-NEUVE Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato