Objectif To investigate the processes involved in the evolution of the Asian Summer Monsoon and in its intraseasonal and interannual variability, and thereby to improve their simulation in forecast and climate models. An over-riding theme is the goal of understanding the processes involved in seasonal and climate predictability. Over half the world's population live within the influence of the Asian Summer Monsoon where the reliable return of the summer rains is essential for life. Therefore the human implications of improved prediction for sub-seasonal, seasonal and climate timescales are enormous. The influence of the monsoon extends to many regions remote from SE-Asia; its importance in the global circulation and climate predictability has been recognised in the new CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) programme of the WCRP. The proposed project is closely allied with the aims of CLIVAR-GOALS and will contribute to numerical experimentation within Europe in support of that programme. The project research involves common diagnosis of multi-year integrations and coordinated, idealised experiments using, primarily, atmospheric GCMs, but extending to coupled atmosphere-ocean GCMs during the later stages of the project. The idealised experimentation is designed to investigate possible mechanisms for monsoon variability. The processes which determine the behaviour of the Asian Summer Monsoon are varied and interactive. The dependence on horizontal resolution, on the parametrisation of physical processes, and on anomalies in boundary forcing, particularly sea surface temperatures, will be investigated. In addition, several supporting programmes have been identified which cover observational studies for model validation, ensemble techniques and palaeoclimate studies. The palaeoclimate studies will provide a broader parameter space within which to test physical parametrisations and potential mechanisms for monsoon variability. Close coordination exists between SHIVA and the seasonal prediction project, PROVOST, since a clear objective of SHIVA is to improve seasonal predictability for monsoon-affected countries. As well as undertaking joint numerical experimentation, the PROVOST and SHIVA projects will meet jointly each year. Champ scientifique natural sciencesearth and related environmental scienceshydrologynatural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes Programme(s) FP4-ENV 2C - Specific programme of research and technological development in the field of environment and climate, 1994-1998 Thème(s) 010103 - Climate variability, simulation of climate and prediction of climate change Appel à propositions Data not available Régime de financement CSC - Cost-sharing contracts Coordinateur University of Reading Contribution de l’UE Aucune donnée Adresse 2 Earley Gate Whiteknights RG6 6BB Reading Royaume-Uni Voir sur la carte Coût total Aucune donnée Participants (6) Trier par ordre alphabétique Trier par contribution de l’UE Tout développer Tout réduire CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE France Contribution de l’UE Aucune donnée Adresse Ecole Polytechnique 91128 PALAISEAU Voir sur la carte Coût total Aucune donnée European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts - ECMWF Royaume-Uni Contribution de l’UE Aucune donnée Adresse Shinfield Park RG2 9AX READING Voir sur la carte Liens Site web Opens in new window Coût total Aucune donnée MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FOERDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN E.V. Allemagne Contribution de l’UE Aucune donnée Adresse Bundesstra¯e 55 20146 HAMBURG Voir sur la carte Coût total Aucune donnée METEO-FRANCE France Contribution de l’UE Aucune donnée Adresse 42,Avenue G. Coriolis 42 31057 TOULOUSE Voir sur la carte Coût total Aucune donnée SECRETARY OF STATE FOR DEFENCE - MINISTRY OF DEFENCE Royaume-Uni Contribution de l’UE Aucune donnée Adresse Fitzroy Road, Metz Office EX1 3PB EXETER Voir sur la carte Coût total Aucune donnée UNIVERSITY OF READING Royaume-Uni Contribution de l’UE Aucune donnée Adresse Earley Gate 2, Whiteknights, Palmer Building RG6 2AU READING / SILCHESTER Voir sur la carte Coût total Aucune donnée
