Cel Problems to be solved.In order to quantify the potential climate impact of changing atmospheric constituents such as "greenhouse gases" two simple measures have been used, namely "Global Warming Potential" (GWP) and "Radiative Forcing" (RF). These measures are convenient "metrics" allowing estimation of potential climate change in terms of e.g. global mean temperatures from an emission into the atmosphere of greenhouse gases. It has recently been found, however, that these metrics have shortcomings, in particular when considering short lived, chemically active and not well mixed chemical species.Scientific objectives and approachThe objectives are to assess current metrics of climate change e.g. Radiative Forcing and Global Warming Potential as used in the Kyoto Protocol, to refine metrics of climate change suitable for climate forcing agents arising from inhomogeneously distributed perturbations of the atmosphere e.g. aerosols, ozone, contrails and from gases with different levels of thermal infrared optical thickness and different atmospheric adjustment times e.g. CO2 versus CH4 and to evaluate the refined metrics with respect to their usefulness for policy makers. Several cases of localised emission perturbations of ozone precursors will be defined. Using two different chemical transport models, the indirect impact on ozone and other greenhouse gases (e.g. methane) will be calculated and radiative forcing will be determined. Idealised and realistic cases of perturbations of climate change agents will be defined. The equilibrium climate responses to these forcings will be compared using three different general circulation models, and the causes of disagreement will be analysed. A review of available metrics of climate change will be made. Available metrics (like radiative forcing and global warming potential) will be applied to the simulations. Finally, on this basis it will be assessed in which cases the current metrics are sufficiently good predictors of climate change. Refined metrics will be developed and it will be assessed under which circumstances metrics are good predictors of climate change. The requirements of policy makers for metrics of climate change will be discussed and formulated. Current and refined metrics will be assessed with respect to their applicability as tools for decision making.Expected impactsThe project will contribute to a further development of environmentally effective policy measures under e.g. the UNFCCC and to better control and regulation of anthropogenic impact on the atmosphere and climate. Dziedzina nauki natural scienceschemical sciencesorganic chemistryaliphatic compoundsnatural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes Program(-y) FP5-EESD - Programme for research, technological development and demonstration on "Energy, environment and sustainable development, 1998-2002" Temat(-y) 1.1.4.-2. - Key action Global Change, Climate and Biodiversity Zaproszenie do składania wniosków Data not available System finansowania CSC - Cost-sharing contracts Koordynator GERMAN AEROSPACE CENTRE Wkład UE Brak danych Adres Muenchener Strasse 20, Oberpfaffernhofen 82234 WESSLING Niemcy Zobacz na mapie Koszt całkowity Brak danych Uczestnicy (4) Sortuj alfabetycznie Sortuj według wkładu UE Rozwiń wszystko Zwiń wszystko CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH OSLO Norwegia Wkład UE Brak danych Adres Blindern 0318 OSLO Zobacz na mapie Koszt całkowity Brak danych CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE Francja Wkład UE Brak danych Adres 10-12,Boulevard Vauban, 47 78047 GUYANCOURT Zobacz na mapie Koszt całkowity Brak danych UNIVERSITY OF READING Zjednoczone Królestwo Wkład UE Brak danych Adres Earley Gate 2, Whiteknights RG6 6BB READING / SILCHESTER Zobacz na mapie Koszt całkowity Brak danych WUPPERTAL INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE, ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY Niemcy Wkład UE Brak danych Adres 19,Doeppersberg 19 42103 WUPPERTAL Zobacz na mapie Koszt całkowity Brak danych