Objective
Inductive reasoning concerns how evidence affects the credibility of hypotheses, thus playing a crucial role in many cognitive processes (e.g. learning, diagnosis, prediction, etc.) and in several applied settings (e.g. law, medicine, etc.). It includes two related but distinct issues: (i) the assessment of degrees of belief in hypotheses in light of available evidence, and (ii) the assessment of the net impact of a piece of evidence on a hypothesis, i.e. the degree of confirmation provided by the former to the latter. Issue (i) has been subject of thorough investigation. Standard probability calculus is seen as the appropriate normative benchmark, especially by contemporary Bayesian theorists, on the basis of Dutch-book arguments. Also, inquiries in cognitive psychology have extensively tested the empirical validity of the normative account, identified its limitations and suggested various descriptive models to account for them. Issue (ii), however, has not attained comparable attention and consensus. A plurality of non-equivalent formal models of confirmation have been put forward, whose normative adequacy is still disputed. Confirmation has been experimentally investigated by cognitive psychologists in rather limited domains, and discussions of the connection between the normative and descriptive level have been sporadic. The present research project aims at filling this gap by pursuing the following goals in an integrated fashion: - extending preliminary theoretical and experimental results on both the normative and descriptive virtues and limitations of Bayesian models of confirmation; - providing a behavioral basis for the comparison of alternative models of confirmation in terms of a new analysis of the value of information; - exploring implications of confirmation theory in the psychology of thinking at large and in applied settings, as the estimation of probative value of evidence when deciding its admissibility in judicial proceedings.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
FP7-PEOPLE-2007-2-1-IEF
See other projects for this call
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Coordinator
WC1E 6BT LONDON
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.