Descrizione del progetto FET Open Mostra l’obiettivo del progetto Nascondi l’obiettivo del progetto Scientists develop computer models of real, complex systems to increase understanding of their behaviour and make predictions. A prime example is the Earth's climate. Complex climate models are used to compute the climate change in response to expected changes in the composition of the atmosphere due to man-made emissions. Years of research have improved the ability to simulate the climate of the recent past but these models are still far from perfect. The model projections of the globally averaged temperature increase by the end of this century differ by as much as a factor of two, and differ completely in regard to projections for specific regions of the globe.Current practice commonly averages the predictions of the separate models. Our proposed approach is instead to form a consensus by combining the models into one super model. The super model has learned from past observations how to optimally exchange information among individual models at every moment in time. Results in nonlinear dynamics suggest that the models can be made to synchronize with each other even if only a small amount of information is exchanged, forming a consensus that best represents reality. This innovative approach to reduce uncertainty might be compared to a group of scientists resolving their differences through dialogue, rather than simply voting or averaging their opinions.Experts from non-linear dynamics, machine-learning and climate science are brought together within SUMO to produce a climate change simulation with a super model combining state-of-the-art climate models. The super-modelling concept has the potential to provide improved estimates of global and regional climate change, so as to motivate and inform policy decisions. The approach is applicable in other situations where a small number of alternative models exist of the same real-world complex system, as in economy, ecology or biology. Campo scientifico natural sciencesbiological sciencesecologynatural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes Programma(i) FP7-ICT - Specific Programme "Cooperation": Information and communication technologies Argomento(i) ICT-2009.8.0 - FET-Open: Challenging current thinking Invito a presentare proposte FP7-ICT-2009-C Vedi altri progetti per questo bando Meccanismo di finanziamento CP - Collaborative project (generic) Coordinatore MACEDONIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES AND ARTS Contributo UE € 356 200,00 Indirizzo Av. Krste Misirkov 2 1000 Skopje Macedonia del Nord Mostra sulla mappa Tipo di attività Research Organisations Contatto amministrativo Ljupco Kocarev (Prof.) Collegamenti Contatta l’organizzazione Opens in new window Sito web Opens in new window Costo totale Nessun dato Partecipanti (7) Classifica in ordine alfabetico Classifica per Contributo UE Espandi tutto Riduci tutto POTSDAM-INSTITUT FUR KLIMAFOLGENFORSCHUNG EV Germania Contributo UE € 219 891,00 Indirizzo TELEGRAFENBERG A31 14473 Potsdam Mostra sulla mappa Regione Brandenburg Brandenburg Potsdam Tipo di attività Research Organisations Contatto amministrativo Jürgen Kurths (Prof.) Collegamenti Contatta l’organizzazione Opens in new window Sito web Opens in new window Costo totale Nessun dato LEIBNIZ-INSTITUT FUER MEERESWISSENSCHAFTEN AN DER UNIVERSITAET KIEL Partecipazione conclusa Germania Contributo UE € 22 646,00 Indirizzo Wischhofstrasse 1-3 24148 KIEL Mostra sulla mappa Tipo di attività Research Organisations Contatto amministrativo Jens-Uwe Mölck (Mr.) Collegamenti Contatta l’organizzazione Opens in new window Sito web Opens in new window Costo totale Nessun dato STICHTING RADBOUD UNIVERSITEIT Paesi Bassi Contributo UE € 316 853,00 Indirizzo HOUTLAAN 4 6525 XZ Nijmegen Mostra sulla mappa Regione Oost-Nederland Gelderland Arnhem/Nijmegen Tipo di attività Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Contatto amministrativo Peter Spoormakers (Mr.) Collegamenti Contatta l’organizzazione Opens in new window Sito web Opens in new window Costo totale Nessun dato KONINKLIJK NEDERLANDS METEOROLOGISCH INSTITUUT-KNMI Paesi Bassi Contributo UE € 361 120,00 Indirizzo UTRECHTSEWEG 297 3731 GA De Bilt Mostra sulla mappa Regione West-Nederland Utrecht Utrecht Tipo di attività Research Organisations Contatto amministrativo Jeroen Sassen Collegamenti Contatta l’organizzazione Opens in new window Sito web Opens in new window Costo totale Nessun dato UNIVERSITETET I BERGEN Norvegia Contributo UE € 372 795,00 Indirizzo MUSEPLASSEN 1 5020 Bergen Mostra sulla mappa Regione Norge Vestlandet Vestland Tipo di attività Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Contatto amministrativo Liv-Grethe Gudmundsen (Ms.) Collegamenti Contatta l’organizzazione Opens in new window Sito web Opens in new window Costo totale Nessun dato INSTITUT JOZEF STEFAN Slovenia Contributo UE € 292 189,00 Indirizzo Jamova 39 1000 Ljubljana Mostra sulla mappa Regione Slovenija Zahodna Slovenija Osrednjeslovenska Tipo di attività Research Organisations Contatto amministrativo Jadran Lenarcic (Prof.) Collegamenti Contatta l’organizzazione Opens in new window Sito web Opens in new window Costo totale Nessun dato UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI Stati Uniti Contributo UE € 193 979,00 Indirizzo 1320 SOUTH DIXIE HIGHWAY, SUITE 1200 33146 Coral Gables Miami Mostra sulla mappa Tipo di attività Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Contatto amministrativo Bonnie Townsend (Ms.) Collegamenti Contatta l’organizzazione Opens in new window Sito web Opens in new window Costo totale Nessun dato
