Project description
Studying the origins of earthquakes
Εarthquakes remain one of the most unpredictable natural disasters, but we are still unsure about how they begin and what controls their size. While significant progress has been made in earthquake research, the nucleation, radiation, and arrest of seismic fractures are still poorly understood. The ERC-funded FORESEEING project aims to answer these questions by investigating the earthquake generation process. Using natural earthquake data, laboratory experiments, and numerical modelling, the project seeks to understand the physical mechanisms leading to the generation of seismic ruptures. The ultimate goal is to translate this knowledge into real-time earthquake early warning systems, providing life-saving alerts, reducing damage, and enhancing resilience during seismic events.
Objective
FORESEEING means “FrOm RupturE procesS to Earthquake Early warnING” and is a groundbreaking research project halfway between the investigation of the earthquake generation processes and the implementation of methods for real-time risk mitigation actions. Incredible progress in earthquake source characterization and modelling has been achieved in the last decades. However, the mechanism of nucleation, radiation and arrest of seismic fractures is still poorly understood and with that, the fundamental issue of seismology is still unsolved: “How do earthquakes begin and what does control their final size?” Within FORESEEING, I want to get to the bottom of the earthquake nucleation with all possible means. I want to solve the unsolved issue of how earthquakes start and understand the physical processes of their generation. Once this issue is understood, I want my research outcomes to become a concrete support for the community and be implemented into Earthquake Early Warning systems, for the prompt activation of emergency actions that can save lives, reduce damage, improve resilience. This will be achieved through an interdisciplinary research approach looking at the rupture process from different points of view. Real earthquake data will be used to find out evidence of the nucleation phase of seismic ruptures and to understand the relationship between the observed features of the initial recorded signals and the following evolution of the seismic ruptures. Laboratory experiments will allow to deeply understand which parameters may influence the rupture development and how they are involved in the process. Digital twins will give the chance to explore in great details the fracture processes during crustal earthquakes and investigate faulting mechanism in realistic conditions. The implementation of real-time algorithms for EEW will move the fundamental knowledge beyond the scientific research, becoming a tool to reduce the risk during major earthquakes.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.1 - European Research Council (ERC)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
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Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
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Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants
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Call for proposal
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Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) ERC-2024-STG
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
80138 Napoli
Italy
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