Forecast of emissions from road traffic in the European Communities
This report presents the results of a study of the expected evolution of traffic-produced emissions in the atmosphere of the European Community, in order to assess what further steps should be taken towards a differentiated market behaviour and use of the automobile. The projection calculations have been carried out with a computer program developed within this study. Based on detailed statistical data of emissions and fuel consumption for cars, buses, trucks and two-wheelers for each Member State, the program takes into account all major parameters of the dynamic system in question. Five different scenarios were developed, which differ with regard to the vehicle type forecast, vehicle usage, and the date and kind of measures taken to reduce emissions from the individual vehicle categories. These include a baseline (zero-base) approach, accelerated best technology implementation schemes and car use intervention scenarios. Results show that the introduction of the best available technology for on-board emission control is able to decrease road traffic emissions substantially, especially when coupled with improvements in fuel properties. Moreover, a reduction of 15% in urban mileages on top of a reduction of 15% in vehicle density can also produce a significant improvement of the situation.
Bibliographic Reference: EUR 13854 EN (1992) 286 pp., FS, ECU 23.75
ISBN: ISBN 92-826-3457-4
Record Number: 199210201 / Last updated on: 1994-12-02
Original language: en
Available languages: en