Accident generating systems and chaos : A dynamic study of accident time series
Any technological system capable of creating accidents can be interpreted as an accident generating system. With this systemic conception in mind, it is possible to apply methods used in the analysis of dynamical systems to the study of accident time series. In particular, analysis can show whether these systems demonstrate a chaotic behaviour. In this paper, fractal techniques are applied to analyse accident time series. This study suggests that accidents do not occur randomly, but in a structured way, and that fractal dimension may be a better descriptor of the behaviour of an accident generating system than the statistical measures currently used. This result, if confirmed by further research, may be of great importance for the choice of safety management policies.
Bibliographic Reference: Article: Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 35 (1992) pp. 31-37
Record Number: 199210427 / Last updated on: 1994-12-02
Original language: en
Available languages: en