Community Research and Development Information Service - CORDIS


The development of two new probabilistic accident consequence codes, MACCS and COSYMA, was completed in 1990. These codes estimate the consequences from the accidental releases of radiological material from hypothesised accidents at nuclear installations. The study presented was formulated jointly by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the European Commission to analyse the uncertainty of the two codes. The objective was to develop credible and traceable uncertainty distributions for the respective code input variables. A formal expert judgement elicitation and evaluation process was identified as the best technology available for developing a library of uncertainty distributions for these consequence parameters.

Additional information

Authors: HARPER F T ET AL., Sandia National Laboratories, New Mexico (US);GOOSSENS L H J ET AL., TU Delft Technical University (NL);HORA S C, University of Hawaii at Hilo (US);LUI C H, US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (US);PÄSLER-SAUER J, JRC Karlsruhe (DE);MCKAY M D, Los Alamos National Laboratory (US);HELTON J C, Arizona State University (US);JONES J A, National Radiological Protection Board (GB)
Bibliographic Reference: EUR 15855 EN (1994) Vol. 1 - 74 pp.; Vol. 2 - 285 pp.; Vol. 3 - 64 pp., FS, free of charge
Availability: Available from the European Commission, G. N. Kelly, DG XII, 200 rue de la Loi, B-1049 Bruxelles (BE)
Record Number: 199411103 / Last updated on: 1995-03-21
Original language: en
Available languages: en