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Abstract

In this paper the problem of expert judgement (EJ) in probabilistic safety assessment is recognised as a true knowledge problem. A critical analysis of traditional EJ methodologies leads to highlight some common weak points of theirs. The suggestion is made to reformulate the expert opinion issue in a Knowledge Engineering setting in order to reach a sound basis for comparison, integration and justification of expert knowledge and relevant uncertainty.
The proposed innovative approach is described in its goals, and requirements for its development are detailed.

Additional information

Authors: GUIDA G, Università degli Studi di Brescia, DEA (IT);BARONI P, Università degli Studi di Brescia, DEA (IT);COJAZZI G, JRC Ispra (IT);PINOLA L, JRC Ispra (IT);SARDELLA R, Università degli Studi di Bologna, DIEM (IT)
Bibliographic Reference: Paper presented: ESREL '96 PSAM III, Crete (GR) June 24-28, 1996
Availability: Available from (1) as Paper EN 39543 ORA
Record Number: 199611117 / Last updated on: 1996-10-28
Category: PUBLICATION
Original language: en
Available languages: en