Model evaluation using ensemble forecasts and the ETEX data bank
A brief overview of the European Tracer Experiment (ETEX) experiment is given. A Lagrangian particle dispersion model is then used to calculate the evolution of a tracer puff, released during the first ETEX release. The meteorological input data used is an ensemble forecast. The dispersion model is evaluated by comparing the dispersion using a control forecast as input, with the measurements from ETEX. The puff evolution from a selection of the 32 ensemble forecasts are then compared with the measurements, to show the spread in performance of the dispersion model, depending on the preciseness of the meteorological input.
Bibliographic Reference: Paper presented: EUROTRAC Symposium 98, Garmisch-Partenkirchen (DE); March 23-27, 1998
Availability: Available from (1) as Paper EN 41265 ORA
Record Number: 199810470 / Last updated on: 1998-05-05
Original language: en
Available languages: en