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Abstract

This paper suggests a framework for global risk management that takes into account the complexities of the global context: large-scale and long-term impacts, inadequate data, uncertainties and unknowns, non-linearities and surprises. This framework is based on a growing consensus among risk researchers that risk estimates of complex phenomena are not only highly uncertain, but also not fully separable from value considerations. The paper also discusses recent IIASA research on global change and catastrophic risk research and its place in the analytic-deliberative framework.

Additional information

Authors: AMENDOLA A, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Risk Modelling and Policy, IIASA, Laxenburg (AT);BAYER J, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Risk Modelling and Policy, IIASA, Laxenburg (AT)
Bibliographic Reference: Paper presented: Global Environmental Risk Research Symposium, Tokyo (JP), March 24, 1998
Availability: Available from (1) as Paper EN 41301 ORA
Record Number: 199810941 / Last updated on: 1998-09-01
Category: PUBLICATION
Original language: en
Available languages: en
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