Community Research and Development Information Service - CORDIS

Abstract

Effective planning requires an understanding of the spatial dynamics of urban growth. As part of the JRC MURBANDY project for monitoring urban dynamics, we develop a generic cellular-automata-based simulation model of urban land use dynamics using the CORINE land use and land cover categories as cell states. The model is then calibrated to particular cities using the CORINE data together with a local digital terrain model and suitability, zoning, and transport network coverage's. Projected population growth is used to generate growth constraint parameters for the cellular automaton. Results for test cities indicate that it is possible to generate relatively accurate simulations of the spatial form of future urban development.

Additional information

Authors: LAVELLE C, SAI, JRC-Ispra (IT);EHRLICH D, SAI, JRC-Ispra (IT);ENGELEN G, RIKS, (NL);ULJEE I, RIKS, (NL)
Bibliographic Reference: Paper presented: GIS of Tomorrow, Stresa (IT), 28-30th June (1999)
Availability: Available from Publications and Public Relations Unit, Ispra (IT)
Record Number: 199911297 / Last updated on: 1999-09-03
Category: PUBLICATION
Original language: en
Available languages: en
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