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FP5

Towards forecasting forest fire risk: Comparison of meteorological forecast data from Meteo France with measured meteorological data from the JRC-MARS database

Project ID: 1964
Funded under: FP5-JRC

Abstract

To estimate the forest fire hazard level in southern Europe (Mediterranean countries), a number of risk indices derived from meteorological parameters have been developed. The present report is the first analysis of the suitability of the Meteo France forecast for the computation of fire risk indices. The study was divided into two main parts:
- Evaluate the local consistency of the forecast data, using comparisons with actual measurements;
- Evaluate the accordance/inconsistency of fire indices computed from both types of data.

This report presents the first phase of the study, i.e. a statistical comparison of the meteorological short-term forecast data with measured data.

Additional information

Authors: CANTELAUBE P, European Commission, Joint Research Council, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Land Management Unit, Ispra (IT);SAN-MIGUEL-AYANZ J, European Commission, Joint Research Council, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Land Management Unit, Ispra (IT);SCMUCK G, European Commission, Joint Research Council, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Land Management Unit, Ispra (IT);BIARD F, European Commission, Joint Research Council, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Land Management Unit, Ispra (IT)
Bibliographic Reference: EUR 20430 EN (2002), 107pp. Free of charge
Availability: Available from European Commission, JRC Knowledge Management Unit, Ispra (IT) Tel: +39 033278 9843 or +39 033278 9864 Fax: +39 033278 9623 E-mail: jrc-publications-office@ec.europa.eu
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