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Pre-operational modelling in the seas of Europe

Exploitable results

Summary: MODEL - enables wave forecasting at fine-scale resolution necessary for coastal forecasting. MODEL - enables vertical profiles of turbulence intensity and of suspended particulate matter to be calculated at any single point subject to specification of surface gradients and wider scale advective gradients. MODEL - provides methodology to allow interactive dynamic coupling of modules, (e.g. waves and tides), maintaining internal consistency.
Summary: Observational data sets pertaining to dynamical and sedimentary regimes (some ecological) in the NW European Shelf Seas and for three (interior) coastal strips have been assembled in accessible formats for widespread dissemination and exploitation. These data sets were collected to facilitate development and evaluation of numerical models. The data sets incorporate three elements: - header documentation containing background descriptions of objectives, sites, conditions, instruments, specific difficulties; - 'quick-look' synthesis viewing encapsulating essential characteristics; - raw-data. The data are well suited for intercomparisons of models and for development of visualization tools.
The broad goals of PROMISE to expedite the development of Operational Oceanography in Europe by combining the expertise of a group of major modeling/ monitoring centres has proven especially opportune - given the parallel development of GOOS and EUROGOOS. Partners in PROMISE have been energetically involved in these and other related developments as indicated by the presentations and attendance at the end of project joint PROMISE/EUROGOOS workshop in Rome(03/99) . As a consequence, some of the detailed aspects of the original PROMISE milestones were modified - although the broader deliverables were achieved. Simultaneously, the practical experience gained in ' rationalizing' models from several centres directly informed the on-going debates in EUROGOOS etc. The goals of assembling and dissembling bench-test data sets posed many detailed questions , resolution of which provided broader guidelines which will be invaluable in future exercises. Likewise the difficulties in trying to standardize generic models for wide application whist maintaining wide flexibility required for a range of locations/circumstances again provided useful experience for further developments. The maintenance of high standards of documentation in PROMISE provided a major overhead in staff effort and publication costs - however, this proved an essential element in enhancing collaboration. Professional standards of Project Management seem appropriate to such EC projects - but due allowance in costing and programme planning ( a major effort is required in the inception phase) is necessary. Early momentum within PROMISE benefitted from partners involvement in WISE, SCWVEX and ECOWAM and will continue in EUROROSE and framework V. The wider interest in the WWW site (2500 visits in 2 years) was re-assuring. The seniority of partcipants at the 2 user meetings (London 07/97 and Rome 03/99) were indicative of the out-reach. The most valuable deliverables from PROMISE are the wider appreciation of the complexities of linking/rationalizing the modeling and monitoring expertise of diverse centres. Whilst the extent of the challenge has been ever more fully realized, the necessity and rewards for succeeding in European integration remain evident and the partners are sanguine in their future outlooks. Continuos co-operative development in marine forecasting is essential for the safety and prosperity of Europe.

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