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FP5

ACCELERATES Informe resumido

Project ID: EVK2-CT-2000-00061
Financiado con arreglo a: FP5-EESD
País: Denmark

Climate change effects on land use and ecosystems: Danish case study

The Danish case study incorporates results from the SPECIES model and downscaled SPECIES on the potential distribution of species on a 5km x 5km grid throughout Denmark (except the island Bornholm) for current conditions (1961-90) and for selected climate change and land use change scenarios for the years 2020, 2050 and 2080.

Results are available for 8 species (six species applying the downscaled SPECIES); 4 associated with lowland heaths and 4 associated with active raised bogs, including their vulnerability to climate change. These results would be useful to those making decisions about the management of habitats and species in Denmark and they could provide local guidance on setting nature conservation objectives, taking account of climate change impacts.

The ACCELERATES land use model was validated against current land use in Denmark. The modelled climate change impacts on land use indicate a continued demand for land for intensive agricultural production, however, crop rotations may change.

Based on a questionnaire survey, farmers' decision-making in relation to land use and nature conservation was investigated in a Danish region. This study provides guidance for designing agri-environmental policies to protect biodiversity in agro-ecosystems.

More information on the QUILT project can be found at: http://www.geo.ucl.ac.be/accelerates/.

Reported by

Danish Research Institute of Food Economics
Rolighedsvej 23
1958 Frederiksberg C
Denmark
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