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FP5

TIGRESS Sintesi della relazione

Project ID: EVG1-CT-2002-00081
Finanziato nell'ambito di: FP5-EESD
Paese: France

EUIROSIM demographic model

EUROSIM is a simulation model of the development of the entire urban network of Europe. It can be used to study local or supra-national changed (cross border migration, say, or the effects of European enlargement.

A report and contact details are available on the TiGrESS website:
http://www.tigress.ac/reports/final/eurosim.pdf

This research was co-ordinated from Paris in conjunction with RIKS (development of data handling conventions) and Newcastle (conceptual modelling). This WP was to help policy makers to think of possible urban futures in a way, which takes account of our knowledge about the specific dynamics of urban systems. The 21st century marks a new stage in the history of system of cities. The urban transition which in two hundred years transformed our way of inhabiting the planet, from a scattered and rather homogeneous rural settlement system into a very concentrated, hierarchical and heterogeneous urban system, is now over. We need new models to explore qualitatively new types of urban dynamic.

The questions addressed included: What future can be expected for cities in developed countries, where there is no longer migration from rural areas or local demographic growth - will population and activities continue to concentrate in the largest metropolises? Are small and medium size towns condemned to decline and disappear like many villages in the past? Are the new trends sustainable? What types of policy will build the capacity to reorient the contemporary evolution of the systems in a desirable direction?

Informazioni correlate

Risultato in breve

Reported by

UNIVERSITE DE PARIS I - SORBONNE - PANTHEON
Rue du Four 13
75006 PARIS
France
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