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Development of a Forecasting Framework and Scenarios to Support the EU Sustainable Development Strategy
Start date:2005-12-01
End date:2008-11-30
Project Acronym:FORESCENE
Project status:Completed
Coordinator
| Organization name:WUPPERTAL INSTITUT FUER KLIMA, UMWELT, ENERGIE GMBH. | |
| Administrative contact | Address |
|
Name:Stefan |
MATERIAL FLOW AND RESOURCE MANAGEMENT P.O.Box 100480 Doeppersberg 19 WUPPERTAL DEUTSCHLAND Region:NORDRHEIN-WESTFALEN DÜSSELDORF Wuppertal, Kreisfreie Stadt |
| Tel:+49-2022492131 | |
| Fax:+49-2022492138 | |
| E-mail:Contact | |
| URL:http://www.wupperinst.org | Organization Type:Research |
Description
Objective:
FORESCENE will develop an analytical framework for consistent environmental sustainability scenario building (forecasting, back-casting, simulation) in areas such as water, soil, biodiversity, waste and natural resources. Problem issues and priority policy fields such as agriculture, infrastructures/land use, industry/economy will be selected in close contact with the EU Commission. The project will focus on back-casting, to identify different scenarios leading to the achievement of future targets.
FORESCENE will
- describe the chosen environmental problems, review policy objectives and indicators, and determine the cross-cutting driving forces;
- develop core elements of integrated sustainability scenarios (goal definition);
- determine measures and processes to be considered for change (pre-back-casting);
- address quantitative and qualitative parameters for measurement (parameterization);
- develop a Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenario framework and example projections (forecasting);
- develop alternative scenarios (incl. Back-casting);
- check the options for modelling, and
- work out conclusions.
To integrate the eight steps FORESCENE will organize a series of workshops to involve DG's and stakeholders, to integrate knowledge on
- cross-cutting drivers of various environmental problems and priority policy fields, and
- to define essentials for integrated sustainability scenarios in terms of goals and cross-cutting policy measures.
Further experts will be involved at various stages of the project. The project will result in recommendations for future policy development with regard to the EU's sustainability strategy and the framework for Impact Assessments and concrete proposals for the use and extension of existing simulation models.
Achievements:
General information:
Project Details
Start date:2005-12-01
End date:2008-11-30
Duration:36 months
Project Reference:22793
Project cost:828076 EURO
Project Funding:790810 EURO
Programme Acronym:
FP6-POLICIES
Programme type:Sixth Framework Programme
Subprogramme Area:Forecasting and developing innovative policies for sustainability in the medium and long term
Contract type:Specific Targeted Research Project
URL:
Subject index:Innovation, Technology Transfer, Coordination, Cooperation, Social Aspects, Evaluation, Policies, Education, Training, Scientific Research
Other participants
| Organization name:THE UNIVERSITY OF NOTTINGHAM | |
| Administrative contact | Address |
|
Name:Roy |
SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY University Park NOTTINGHAM UNITED KINGDOM Region:EAST MIDLANDS DERBYSHIRE, NOTTINGHAMSHIRE Nottinghamshire |
| Tel:+44-1159515498 | |
| Fax:+44-1159515249 | |
| E-mail:Contact | |
| URL:http://www.nottingham.ac.uk | Organization Type:Education |
| Organization name:LUNDS UNIVERSITET | |
| Administrative contact | Address |
|
Name:Lennart |
LUCSUS - LUND UNIVERSITY CENTRE FOR SUSTAINABILITY STUDIES Paradisgatan 5C 117 LUND SVERIGE Region:SVERIGE SYDSVERIGE Malmöhus län |
| Tel:+46-462220511 | |
| Fax:+46-462220475 | |
| E-mail:Contact | |
| URL:http://www.lu.se | Organization Type:Education |
| Organization name:SERI - NACHHALTIGKEITSFORSCHUNGS UND -KOMMUNICAKATIONS GMBH | |
| Administrative contact | Address |
|
Name:Stefan |
SERI - NACHHALTIGKEITSFORSCHUNGS UND -KOMMUNIKATIONS GMBH Garnisongasse 7/27 VIENNA ÖSTERREICH Region:OSTÖSTERREICH WIEN |
| Tel:+43-1969072819 | |
| Fax:+43-1969072817 | |
| E-mail:Contact | |
| URL:http://www.seri.at | Organization Type:Research |
| Organization name:THE REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CENTER FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE | |
| Administrative contact | Address |
|
Name:Robert |
BUSINESS AND ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME Ady Endre ut 9-11 SZENTENDRE MAGYARORSZAG Region:KOZEP-MAGYARORSZAG Pest |
| Tel:+36-26-504059 | |
| Fax:+36-26-504008 | |
| E-mail:Contact | |
| URL:http://www.rec.org/ | Organization Type:Other |
| Organization name:UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI FIRENZE | |
| Administrative contact | Address |
|
Name:Leonardo |
DEART - DIPARTIMENTO DI ECONOMIA AGRARIA E DIFESA DEL SUOLO/FACOLTÀ DI AGRARIA Piazza San Marco 4 FIRENZE ITALIA Region:CENTRO (I) TOSCANA |
| Tel:+39-0553288243 | |
| Fax:+39-055361771 | |
| E-mail:Contact | |
| URL:http://www.unifi.it | Organization Type:Education |
Record control number:78625
