Community Research and Development Information Service - CORDIS

CORE model to support the IPTS futures project

A 'Core' model as the first step of an exploratory socio-economic quantitative modelling exercise in support of the Institute for Prospective Studies (IPTS) Futures project is sought by the Joint Research Centre (JRC).

The IPTS futures project has identified a series of trends and discontinuities affecting policy options in Europe to 2010. These trends relate to political and economic drivers, societal factors, technological change and the environment.

'The trends form multiple pressures on public expenditure (especially pensions, health and education), at a time of mismatches between the supply of and demand for labour (e.g. falling numbers of workers as well as skill gaps) and rising costs on industry (environmental protection, increased transport congestion). Particularly important amongst these key changes will be the enlargement of the European Union,' says the JRC.

It now wants to quantify these key trends to allow an assessment of relative size and time-scales of the different trends and their cross-impacts. In order to meet this requirement, the IPTS intends to build in-house competence on long-term modelling. In particular the IPTS intends to construct a system of interconnected models of the enlarged EU that are open to scenario simulations. This call for tenders concerns the CORE model of this system of models that will handle relations of physical and financial flows on a coherent framework. A further call for tenders will subsequently seek the provision of sub-models.
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