Skip to main content
European Commission logo print header

Elections, Violence, and Parties

Project description

What causes violence at elections

In an ideal scenario, elections pave the way for peaceful transition of power. However, this has not been the case in many emerging democracies. Since 1990, a third of all elections held in developing countries have been marred by political violence. For instance, thousands of people were killed in the lead up to, during and immediately following the elections in Kenya in 2007 and the Ivory Coast in 2010. The EU-funded EVaP project will develop an innovative party-centred theory to explain the nature and organisation of political violence. Testing the theory in India and Nigeria, the project will explain how and why violence at elections takes place; moreover, it will identify the main motivation behind that violence as well as its consequences for citizens.

Objective

Since 1990, deadly violence has occurred in more than 30% of elections held outside of advanced, industrialized democracies. In the 2007 Kenyan elections and the 2010 Côte D’Ivoire elections, violence killed thousands of people in just a few months, undoing years of institution-building and undermining democracy. Much of contemporary politics unfolds in countries holding competitive elections but lacking institutionalized democracy. In these countries, election violence still happens routinely because politicians use violence to influence election outcomes in their favor.

A major political and scholarly problem is that we know a lot about the conditions that make elections more or less violent, but lack insight into the more fundamental issues of how violence plays out on the ground. Departing from the focus on intensity in existing work, I develop a novel party-centered theory to explain the nature, organization, and consequences of election violence. Political parties are crucial actors linking politicians and citizens, and I attribute a central role to parties’ organizational and social links. The diversity of parties’ social support influences whether violence provides electoral benefits, implying that parties supported by a single group benefit more from violence. Party organization at the local level in turn explains whether groups can engage in targeted violence or have to rely on poorly-controlled thugs-for-hire. This theory changes how we think about election violence, explaining (1) how and why election violence happens and (2) the consequences of election violence for citizens.

EVaP breaks new empirical ground by testing these claims subnationally in India and Nigeria, two of the world’s largest emerging democracies. EVaP uses a multi-method approach to examine within-country variation in party institutions, social support, and election violence in India and Nigeria, combining fieldwork interviews, quantitative data, survey experiments, and surveys.

Host institution

UNIVERSITEIT VAN AMSTERDAM
Net EU contribution
€ 1 499 991,00
Address
SPUI 21
1012WX Amsterdam
Netherlands

See on map

Region
West-Nederland Noord-Holland Groot-Amsterdam
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
€ 1 499 991,00

Beneficiaries (1)