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North Atlantic Climate: Predictability of the climate in the North Atlantic/European sector related to North Atlantic/Arctic sea surface temperature and sea ice variability and change

Objectif

NACLIM aims at investigating and quantifying the predictability of the climate in the North Atlantic/European sector related to North Atlantic/Arctic sea surface temperature (SST) and sea ice variability and change on seasonal to decadal time scales. SST and sea-ice forcing have a crucial impact on weather and climate in Europe. Rather than running climate forecasts ourselves, we will analyze the multi-model decadal prediction experiments currently performed as part of the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) and critically assess the quality of predictions of the near-future state of key oceanic and atmospheric quantities relevant to the SST and sea-ice distribution and the related climate. Long-term observations of relevant ocean parameters will be carried out, necessary to assess the forecast skill of the model-based prediction results. We will identify those observations that are key to the quality of the prediction and in turn optimize the present observing system. We will quantify the impact of North Atlantic/European climate change on high trophic levels of the oceanic ecosystem as well as on urban societies.

Appel à propositions

FP7-ENV-2012-two-stage
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Coordinateur

UNIVERSITAET HAMBURG
Contribution de l’UE
€ 1 913 307,18
Adresse
MITTELWEG 177
20148 Hamburg
Allemagne

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Région
Hamburg Hamburg Hamburg
Type d’activité
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Contact administratif
Linda Reams-Behboud (Ms.)
Liens
Coût total
Aucune donnée

Participants (17)