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Impacts and risks from higher-end scenarios: Strategies for innovative solutions

Objective

IMPRESSIONS will provide empirically-grounded, transformative science that quantifies and explains the consequences of high-end climate scenarios for both decision-makers and society. IMPRESSIONS will develop and apply a novel participatory methodology that explicitly deals with uncertainties and strong non-linear changes focussing on high-end climate change, but also including intermediate warming levels. This new methodology will build on the representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to create a coherent set of high-end climate and socio-economic scenarios covering multiple scales. These scenarios will be applied to a range of impact, adaptation and vulnerability models that build on theories of complex systems and address tipping elements as key characteristics of such systems. The models will be embedded within an innovative multi-scale integrated assessment approach to improve analysis of cross-scale interactions and cross-sectoral benefits, conflicts and trade-offs. Model results will inform the development of time- and path-dependent transition pathways. These will include mechanisms to foster synergies between adaptation and mitigation and will aim to build resilience in the face of uncertainty. Methods will be applied within five linked multi-sectoral case studies at global, European and regional/local scales. Stakeholders within these case studies will be fully engaged in the research process through a series of in-depth professionally facilitated workshops which maximise their active participation in defining high-end scenarios and adaptation and mitigation pathways, and in analysing the inherent risks and opportunities of new policy strategies. This will build the capacity of stakeholders to understand the risks, opportunities, costs and benefits associated with different adaptation and mitigation pathways under high-end scenarios, and how they might be effectively embedded within decision-making processes.
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Coordinator

NATURAL ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH COUNCIL

Address

Polaris House, North Star Avenue
Sn2 1eu Swindon Wiltshire

United Kingdom

Activity type

Research Organisations

EU Contribution

€ 614 499

Administrative Contact

Liz Stansfield (Mrs.)

Participants (25)

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FUNDACAO DA FACULDADE DE CIENCIAS DA UNIVERSIDADE DE LISBOA FP

Portugal

EU Contribution

€ 294 862,89

STIFTELSEN THE STOCKHOLM ENVIRONMENT INSTITUTE

Sweden

EU Contribution

€ 525 225

WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY

Netherlands

EU Contribution

€ 525 750

DANMARKS METEOROLOGISKE INSTITUT

Denmark

EU Contribution

€ 282 594

SUOMEN YMPARISTOKESKUS

Finland

EU Contribution

€ 547 200

THE UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 637 605

DUTCH RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOR TRANSITIONS BV

Netherlands

EU Contribution

€ 362 400

CRANFIELD UNIVERSITY

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 430 134

JAEGER JILL

Austria

EU Contribution

€ 151 206

SCUOLA SUPERIORE DI STUDI UNIVERSITARI E DI PERFEZIONAMENTO S ANNA

Italy

EU Contribution

€ 297 760

PROSPEX BVBA

Belgium

EU Contribution

€ 717 323

PENSOFT PUBLISHERS

Bulgaria

EU Contribution

€ 466 700

FUNDATIA PENTRU TEHNOLOGIA INFORMATIEI APLICATE IN MEDIU,AGRICULTURA SI SCHIMBARI GLOBALE

Romania

EU Contribution

€ 211 200

UNIVERSITAET KASSEL

Germany

EU Contribution

€ 229 200

Joan David Tabara Villalba

Spain

EU Contribution

€ 278 950

KOZEP-EUROPAI EGYETEM

Hungary

EU Contribution

€ 371 169

CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS

France

EU Contribution

€ 144 960

LONDON SCHOOL OF HYGIENE AND TROPICAL MEDICINE ROYAL CHARTER

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 243 312

EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICH

Switzerland

EU Contribution

€ 286 800

POTSDAM INSTITUT FUER KLIMAFOLGENFORSCHUNG

Germany

EU Contribution

€ 271 665

IODINE SPRL

Belgium

EU Contribution

€ 150 000

UNIVERSITA' DEGLI STUDI DI MILANO-BICOCCA

Italy

EU Contribution

€ 51 604

PARIS-LODRON-UNIVERSITAT SALZBURG

Austria

EU Contribution

€ 124 800

THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 561 999

FCIENCIAS.ID - ASSOCIACAO PARA A INVESTIGACAO E DESENVOLVIMENTO DE CIENCIAS

Portugal

EU Contribution

€ 136 017,11

Project information

Grant agreement ID: 603416

Status

Closed project

  • Start date

    1 November 2013

  • End date

    31 October 2018

Funded under:

FP7-ENVIRONMENT

  • Overall budget:

    € 11 288 441,48

  • EU contribution

    € 8 914 935

Coordinated by:

NATURAL ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH COUNCIL

United Kingdom

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