Obiettivo THE LONGEST AVAILABLE HOMOGENEOUS AIR TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION DATA SERIES FROM EUROPEAN WEATHER STATIONS WILL BE USED TO OBJECTIVELY CONSTRUCT TIME SERIES MODELS EACH CONSISTING OF AN OVERALL MEAN, A SEASONAL COMPONENT AND "NOISE" TERM WHICH WILL BE REPRESENTED BY AN AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESS. IN THIS WAY, OBJECTIVE ESTIMATES OF CLIMATIC TRENDS AT VARIOUS EUROPEAN STATIONS WILL BE GIVEN. AIR TEMPERATURE DATA WILL CONSIST OF MONTHLY MEANS AND THEY WILL INCLUDE BOTH GROUP AND RADIOSONDE OBSERVATIONS. WEATHER STATIONS WILL ALSO BE GROUPED IN SIMILAR CLIMATIC REGIMES AND EACH TREND ESTIMATE WILL BE TESTED SEPARATELY FOR ITS STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE. THE RESULTS OF THIS ANALYSIS WILL BE COMPARED WITH MODEL PREDICTIONS OF THE EXPECTED GREENHOUSE EFFECT FOR KNOWN CO2 AND OTHER TRACE GASES INCREASING SCENARIOS. EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS IN EUROPE WILL ALSO BE STUDIED AND ATTEMPT WILL BE MADE TO RECONSTRUCT THEIR GEOGRAPHICAL PATTERNS. THE COMPILATION OF EXTREME EVENTS WILL BE EXTENDED FROM THE INSTRUMENTAL ERA BACK TO THE YEAR ABOUT 1000 AD FROM HISTORICAL SOURCES. THIS PART OF THE COMPILATION WILL START ALREADY IN PHASE. THE HISTORICAL SOURCE WILL BE FOUND IN ANCIENT CODICES, MANUSCRIPTS AND TRAVELLERS OBSERVATIONS FROM GREECE AND HOLLAND WHICH ARE, OR WILL BE, ARCHIVED IN THE PATRIARCHAL INSTITUTE FOR PATRISTIC STUDIES AND MANY DUTCH INSTITUTES. THIS EXTENSIVE LIST OF EVENTS WILL BE USED TO PROVIDE ESTIMATES OF THE AMPLITUDE OF CLIMATIC EXTREMES, SIMULATE THE PREVAILING SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IN EUROPE DURING THEIR OCCURENCE AND COMPARE THEM WITH THE PREVAILING SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IN EUROPE AT TIMES OF CLIMATIC EXTREMES DURING THE INSTRUMENTAL ERA. THE RELATIONS BETWEEN RECONSTRUCTED CLIMATIC EVENTS AT DIFFERENT EUROPEAN LOCATIONS CAN PROVIDE FURTHER CLUES ABOUT THE RESPONSE PATTERN OF EUROPEAN CLIMATE TO THE AS YET UNKNOWN CAUSES OF HISTORIC CLIMATIC CHANGES. WELL-ESTABLISHED COHERENT AND INCOHERENT PATTERNS OF EUROPEAN CLIMATIC CHANGES WILL BE COMPARED WITH AVAILABLE RESPONSE PATTERNS FROM CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATIONS. AS MENTIONED ABOVE, SPECIAL EMPHASIS WILL BE GIVEN TO CLIMATIC RESPONSE PATTERNS OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 AND OTHER TRACE GAS INCREASES IN EUROPE. Campo scientifico natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes Programma(i) FP1-CLIMAT 3C - Multiannual R&D programmes (EEC) in the field of the environment - Climatology and natural hazards - , 1986-1990 Argomento(i) Data not available Invito a presentare proposte Data not available Meccanismo di finanziamento CSC - Cost-sharing contracts Coordinatore PATRIARCHAL INSTITUTE FOR PATRISTIC STUDIES Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo MONI VLATADON EPTAPYRGIOU 14 54634 THESSALONIKI Grecia Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato Partecipanti (3) Classifica in ordine alfabetico Classifica per Contributo UE Espandi tutto Riduci tutto RIJKSUNIVERSITEIT Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato ROYAL NETHERLAND METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato UNIVERSITY OF UTRECHT Contributo UE Nessun dato Indirizzo Mostra sulla mappa Costo totale Nessun dato
