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Modelling of dependencies and cascading effects for emergency management in crisis situations

Objective

Escalating incidents in complex environments can lead to severe cascading effects and quickly become extremely difficult for emergency services to handle. Such incidents can have enormous consequences with respect to life, property and the environment and for both infrastructure and the general public. These consequences can in many situations have both direct and indirect effects, not only in the immediate surrounding geographical area but also across very large areas, potentially extending across borders.
CascEff will improve our understanding of cascading effects in crisis situations through the identification of initiators, dependencies and key decision points. These will be developed in the methodological framework of an Incident Evolution Tool which will enable improved decision support, contributing to the reduction of collateral damages and other unfortunate consequences associated with large crises. Use of the Incident Evolution Tool will be demonstrated through its implementation into three different incident management and training platforms representing different end users in the project.
The work proposed in this project will significantly improve the ability of Incident Commanders to manage complex incidents by improving our understanding of initiators, dependencies and key decision points through the use of the proposed Incident Evolution Tool. This will introduce additional information and decision support into the incident management process, beyond the knowledge available from experience alone by introducing a number of alternative options for response strategy. This tool will be run a priori for bespoke crisis originators identified during the project and will include multiple timelines as well as physics based representations of the environment and the impact of decisions on the mitigation of cascading effects.

Call for proposal

FP7-SEC-2013-1
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Coordinator

RISE RESEARCH INSTITUTES OF SWEDEN AB
Address
Brinellgatan 4
501 15 Boras
Sweden

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Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Anders Lönnermark (Prof.)
EU contribution
€ 871 591,82

Participants (12)

MAX IV Laboratory, Lund University
Sweden
EU contribution
€ 433 505,56
Address
Paradisgatan 5c
22100 Lund

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Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Kurt Petersen (Mr.)
MYNDIGHETEN FOR SAMHALLSSKYDD OCH BEREDSKAP
Sweden
EU contribution
€ 176 237,60
Address
Karolinen
651 81 Karlstad

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Activity type
Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Marie Norrby (Ms.)
UNIVERSITEIT GENT
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 278 480,83
Address
Sint Pietersnieuwstraat 25
9000 Gent

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Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Nathalie Vandepitte (Ms.)
INSTITUT NATIONAL DE L ENVIRONNEMENT INDUSTRIEL ET DES RISQUES - INERIS
France
EU contribution
€ 375 934,71
Address
Parc Technologique Alata
60550 Verneuil En Halatte

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Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Valerie Mahieux (Ms.)
SERVICE PUBLIC FEDERAL INTERIEUR
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 23 250
Address
Rue De Louvain 1
1000 Brussels

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Activity type
Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Christiaan Roets (Mr.)
SAFETY CENTRE EUROPE BVBA
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 354 200
Address
Noorderlaan 133
2030 Antwerpen

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Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Gaby Verheyen (Ms.)
UNIVERSITE DE LORRAINE
France
EU contribution
€ 412 351,03
Address
Cours Leopold 34
54052 Nancy Cedex

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Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Brigitte Siatka (Mrs.)
UNIVERSITY OF LEICESTER

Participation ended

United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 75 438,22
Address
University Road
LE1 7RH Leicester

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Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Marie Adams (Mrs.)
NORTHAMPTONSHIRE COUNTY COUNCIL

Participation ended

United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 53 579,93
Address
County Hall
NN1 1AN Northampton

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Activity type
Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Philip Pells (Mr.)
XVR SIMULATION BV
Netherlands
EU contribution
€ 214 468,63
Address
Westlandseweg 40, 5e Verdieping
2624 AD Delft

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Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Joost Beerthuis (Mr.)
AUTONOOM PROVINCIEBEDRIJF CAMPUS VESTA
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 225 481,23
Address
Oostmalsesteenweg 75
2520 Emblem Ranst

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Activity type
Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Koen Milis (Dr.)
THE UNIVERSITY OF SHEFFIELD
United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 100 418,24
Address
Firth Court Western Bank
S10 2TN Sheffield

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Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Anya Rayner (Ms.)