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PREparing for the Domino effect in Crisis siTuations

Objective

PREDICT provides a comprehensive solution for dealing with cascading effects in multi-sectoral crisis situations covering aspects of critical infrastructures. The PREDICT solution will be composed of the following three pillars: methodologies, models and software tools. Their integrated use will increase the awareness and understanding of cascading effects by crisis response organisations, enhances their preparedness and improves their response capability to respond in case of cascading failures.
PREDICT project will start from a deep analysis of recent cases (over 8500 incidents worldwide), which will be accompanied with scenarios of potential crisis. Project partners will set up a generic approach (common framework) to prevent or mitigate cascading effects which will be applied in selected cases agreed with end-users.
As modelling each phenomenon separately in a specific environment is not effective, PREDICT project will propose cohesive and comprehensive models of dependencies, cascading effects and common m ode failure which will include causal relations, multi-sectoral infrastructure elements and environment parameters, as well as the human factor aspects.
PREDICT will deliver software tools bundled in PREDICT Incident Evolution Tool, which will consist of two core components: a Foresight and Prediction Tool (for simulation of the evolution of cascading effect and impact on multi-sectoral dependencies) and a Decision-Support Tool (for determining the best course of action and to calculate the risk associated with them).
The high-quality of the developed solutions will be assured by a consortium consisting of a number of experienced partners joining research, industrial (incl. SME), and end-users approaches. End-users will be deeply involved in PREDICT at three levels: as partners of the consortium (there are three end-users in the consortium), members of the Advisory Board, and representatives from relevant organisations across Europe.

Field of science

  • /natural sciences/computer and information sciences/software

Call for proposal

FP7-SEC-2013-1
See other projects for this call

Funding Scheme

CP-FP - Small or medium-scale focused research project

Coordinator

COMMISSARIAT A L ENERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ENERGIES ALTERNATIVES
Address
Rue Leblanc 25
75015 Paris 15
France
Activity type
Research Organisations
EU contribution
€ 665 856,82
Administrative Contact
Dominique Sérafin (Dr.)

Participants (11)

TEKNOLOGIAN TUTKIMUSKESKUS VTT

Participation ended

Finland
EU contribution
€ 314 279,25
Address
Tekniikantie 4 A
02044 VTT Espoo
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Simo Hostikka (Dr.)
ITTI SP ZOO
Poland
EU contribution
€ 421 976
Address
Rubiez 46
61 612 Poznan
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Krzysztof Samp (Mr.)
FRAUNHOFER GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FOERDERUNG DER ANGEWANDTEN FORSCHUNG E.V.
Germany
EU contribution
€ 294 693,02
Address
Hansastrasse 27C
80686 Munchen
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Sidonie Holborn-Hanßen (Mrs.)
THALES
France
EU contribution
€ 197 766,65
Address
Tour Carpe Diem Place Des Corolles Esplanade Nord
92400 Courbevoie
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
David Faure (Dr.)
COMPAGNIE EUROPEENNE D'INTELLIGENCE STRATEGIQUE
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 404 950
Address
Boulevard Du Regent 35
1000 Bruxelles
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Axel Dyèvre (Mr.)
NEDERLANDSE ORGANISATIE VOOR TOEGEPAST NATUURWETENSCHAPPELIJK ONDERZOEK TNO
Netherlands
EU contribution
€ 359 988,47
Address
Anna Van Buerenplein 1
2595 DA Den Haag
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Rene Willems (Mr.)
TEKNOLOGIAN TUTKIMUSKESKUS VTT OY
Finland
Address
Tekniikantie 21
02150 Espoo
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Tuula Hakkarainen (Dr.)
VEILIGHEIDSREGIO ZUID-HOLLAND ZUID
Netherlands
EU contribution
€ 262 150
Address
Romboutslaan 105
3312 KP Dordrecht
Activity type
Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Nicolaas Van Os (Mr.)
SUOMEN YMPARISTOKESKUS
Finland
EU contribution
€ 179 550
Address
Latokartanonkaari 11
00790 Helsinki
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Jorma Rytkönen (Mr.)
UNION INTERNATIONALE DES CHEMINS DE FER
France
EU contribution
€ 163 700
Address
Rue Jean Rey 16
75015 Paris
Activity type
Other
Administrative Contact
Oana Patraulescu (Mrs.)
THALES NEDERLAND BV
Netherlands
EU contribution
€ 195 282,78
Address
Zuidelijke Havenweg 40
7554 RR Hengelo Ov
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Paul Burghardt (Mr.)