PREparing for the Domino effect in Crisis siTuations

Objective

PREDICT provides a comprehensive solution for dealing with cascading effects in multi-sectoral crisis situations covering aspects of critical infrastructures. The PREDICT solution will be composed of the following three pillars: methodologies, models and software tools. Their integrated use will increase the awareness and understanding of cascading effects by crisis response organisations, enhances their preparedness and improves their response capability to respond in case of cascading failures.
PREDICT project will start from a deep analysis of recent cases (over 8500 incidents worldwide), which will be accompanied with scenarios of potential crisis. Project partners will set up a generic approach (common framework) to prevent or mitigate cascading effects which will be applied in selected cases agreed with end-users.
As modelling each phenomenon separately in a specific environment is not effective, PREDICT project will propose cohesive and comprehensive models of dependencies, cascading effects and common m ode failure which will include causal relations, multi-sectoral infrastructure elements and environment parameters, as well as the human factor aspects.
PREDICT will deliver software tools bundled in PREDICT Incident Evolution Tool, which will consist of two core components: a Foresight and Prediction Tool (for simulation of the evolution of cascading effect and impact on multi-sectoral dependencies) and a Decision-Support Tool (for determining the best course of action and to calculate the risk associated with them).
The high-quality of the developed solutions will be assured by a consortium consisting of a number of experienced partners joining research, industrial (incl. SME), and end-users approaches. End-users will be deeply involved in PREDICT at three levels: as partners of the consortium (there are three end-users in the consortium), members of the Advisory Board, and representatives from relevant organisations across Europe.

Field of science

• /natural sciences/computer and information sciences/software

Programme(s)

• FP7-SECURITY - Specific Programme "Cooperation": Security

Topic(s)

• SEC-2013.4.1-2 - Better understanding of the cascading effect in crisis situations in order to improve future response and preparedness and contribute to lower damages and other unfortunate consequences – Capability Project

Call for proposal

FP7-SEC-2013-1
See other projects for this call

Funding Scheme

CP-FP - Small or medium-scale focused research project

Coordinator

COMMISSARIAT A L ENERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ENERGIES ALTERNATIVES

Address

Rue Leblanc 25
75015 Paris 15
France

Activity type

Research Organisations

EU contribution

€ 665 856,82

Administrative Contact

Dominique Sérafin (Dr.)

Participants (11)

TEKNOLOGIAN TUTKIMUSKESKUS VTT

Participation ended

Finland

EU contribution

€ 314 279,25

Address

Tekniikantie 4 A
02044 VTT Espoo

Activity type

Research Organisations

Administrative Contact

Simo Hostikka (Dr.)

ITTI SP ZOO

Poland

EU contribution

€ 421 976

Address

Rubiez 46
61 612 Poznan

Activity type

Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)

Administrative Contact

Krzysztof Samp (Mr.)

FRAUNHOFER GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FOERDERUNG DER ANGEWANDTEN FORSCHUNG E.V.

Germany

EU contribution

€ 294 693,02

Address

Hansastrasse 27C
80686 Munchen

Activity type

Research Organisations

Administrative Contact

Sidonie Holborn-Hanßen (Mrs.)

THALES

France

EU contribution

€ 197 766,65

Address

Tour Carpe Diem Place Des Corolles Esplanade Nord
92400 Courbevoie

Activity type

Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)

Administrative Contact

David Faure (Dr.)

COMPAGNIE EUROPEENNE D'INTELLIGENCE STRATEGIQUE

Belgium

EU contribution

€ 404 950

Address

Boulevard Du Regent 35
1000 Bruxelles

Activity type

Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)

Administrative Contact

Axel Dyèvre (Mr.)

NEDERLANDSE ORGANISATIE VOOR TOEGEPAST NATUURWETENSCHAPPELIJK ONDERZOEK TNO

Netherlands

EU contribution

€ 359 988,47

Address

Anna Van Buerenplein 1
2595 DA Den Haag

Activity type

Research Organisations

Administrative Contact

Rene Willems (Mr.)

TEKNOLOGIAN TUTKIMUSKESKUS VTT OY

Finland

Address

Tekniikantie 21
02150 Espoo

Activity type

Research Organisations

Administrative Contact

Tuula Hakkarainen (Dr.)

VEILIGHEIDSREGIO ZUID-HOLLAND ZUID

Netherlands

EU contribution

€ 262 150

Address

Romboutslaan 105
3312 KP Dordrecht

Activity type

Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)

Administrative Contact

Nicolaas Van Os (Mr.)

SUOMEN YMPARISTOKESKUS

Finland

EU contribution

€ 179 550

Address

Latokartanonkaari 11
00790 Helsinki

Activity type

Research Organisations

Administrative Contact

Jorma Rytkönen (Mr.)

UNION INTERNATIONALE DES CHEMINS DE FER

France

EU contribution

€ 163 700

Address

Rue Jean Rey 16
75015 Paris

Activity type

Other

Administrative Contact

Oana Patraulescu (Mrs.)

THALES NEDERLAND BV

Netherlands

EU contribution

€ 195 282,78

Address

Zuidelijke Havenweg 40
7554 RR Hengelo Ov

Activity type

Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)

Administrative Contact

Paul Burghardt (Mr.)