Periodic Reporting for period 1 - CONCLIMA (Constraining large-scale climate feedbacks in the Earth system using paleo data)
Reporting period: 2017-07-01 to 2019-06-30
The analysis of the AMOC performed with collaborators in Germany showed that the oceanic circulation is already slowing down, most likely as a consequence of global warming. The results of our study were confirmed by an independent analysis that came out at the same time. Therefore, confidence in the` results is very high, and this slowdown has broad implications for society as a whole. The Atlantic circulation plays an important role in the redistribution of heat globally, particularly bringing warm water from the equator towards the North Atlantic, which has a stabilizing effect on the European climate. It is not known what the long-term impacts of such a slowdown, and potential shutdown, of the circulation will be, but our study makes it clear that understanding the system better is an urgent and high priority issue.