Forecasting Surface Weather and Climate at One-Month Leads through Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling

Informazioni relative al progetto

FORECASToneMONTH

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 677756

DOI 10.3030/677756

Progetto chiuso

Data della firma CE 22 Aprile 2016

Data di avvio 1 Maggio 2016

Data di completamento 31 Ottobre 2021

Finanziato da

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Costo totale € 1 808 000,00

Contributo UE € 1 808 000,00

Coordinato da

THE HEBREW UNIVERSITY OF JERUSALEM
Israel

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I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (33)

The Generic Nature of the Tropospheric Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Autori: Ian P. White; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker; Peter Hitchcock; Jian Rao
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 9, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0697.1

The Southern Hemisphere Minor Sudden Stratospheric Warming in September 2019 and its predictions in S2S Models

Autori: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Chen Schwartz
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research, Numero 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032723

Impact of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Northern Winter Stratospheric Polar Vortex in CMIP5/6 Models

Autori: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 4, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0663.1

Nonlinear Interaction between the Drivers of the Monsoon and Summertime Stationary Waves

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Ori Adam; Martin Jucker
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 7, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Autori: Mark P. Baldwin; Blanca Ayarzagüena; Thomas Birner; Thomas Birner; Neal Butchart; Amy H. Butler; Andrew Charlton-Perez; Daniela I. V. Domeisen; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Hella Garny; Edwin P. Gerber; Michaela I. Hegglin; Ulrike Langematz; Nicholas Pedatella
Pubblicato in: Review of Geophysics, Numero 1, 2021, ISSN 8755-1209
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10502884.1

Projected changes of stratospheric final warmings in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres by CMIP5/6 models

Autori: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 1, 2021, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05647-6

How Does the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Affect the Boreal Winter Tropospheric Circulation in CMIP5/6 Models?

Autori: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0024.1

Predicting the Downward and Surface Influence of the February 2018 and January 2019 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events in Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Models.

Autori: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research, Numero 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019jd031919

Predictability of the early winter Arctic oscillation from autumn Eurasian snowcover in subseasonal forecast models

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Chen Schwartz; Ian P. White; Jian Rao
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 1, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05305-3

CMIP5/6 models project little change in the statistical characteristics of sudden stratospheric warmings in the 21st century

Autori: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 1, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd4fe

Arctic Ozone Loss in March 2020 and Its Seasonal Prediction in CFSv2: A Comparative Study with the 1997 and 2011 Cases

Autori: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research, Numero 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033524

MJO-Related Tropical Convection Anomalies Lead to More Accurate Stratospheric Vortex Variability in Subseasonal Forecast Models

Autori: C. I. Garfinkel, C. Schwartz
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 44/19, 2017, Pagina/e 10,054-10,062, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL074470

Relative roles of the MJO and stratospheric variability in North Atlantic and European winter climate

Autori: Chen Schwartz, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numero 122/8, 2017, Pagina/e 4184-4201, ISSN 2169-897X
Editore: GRL
DOI: 10.1002/2016JD025829

A Census of Atmospheric Variability From Seconds to Decades

Autori: Paul D. Williams, M. Joan Alexander, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Amy H. Butler, Huw C. Davies, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Yochanan Kushnir, Todd P. Lane, Julie K. Lundquist, Olivia Martius, Ryan N. Maue, W. Richard Peltier, Kaoru Sato, Adam A. Scaife, Chidong Zhang
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 44/21, 2017, Pagina/e 11,201-11,211, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075483

Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Pathway of Different El Niño Flavors in Stratosphere-Resolving CMIP5 Models

Autori: N. Calvo, M. Iza, M. M. Hurwitz, E. Manzini, C. Peña-Ortiz, A. H. Butler, C. Cagnazzo, S. Ineson, C. I. Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 30/12, 2017, Pagina/e 4351-4371, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0132.1

Classification of eastward propagating waves on the spherical Earth

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Itzhak Fouxon, Ofer Shamir, Nathan Paldor
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numero 143/704, 2017, Pagina/e 1554-1564, ISSN 0035-9009
Editore: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3025

Robustness of the Simulated Tropospheric Response to Ozone Depletion

Autori: William J. M. Seviour, Darryn W. Waugh, Lorenzo M. Polvani, Gustavo J. P. Correa, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 30/7, 2017, Pagina/e 2577-2585, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0817.1

Stratospheric variability contributed to and sustained the recent hiatus in Eurasian winter warming

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Seok-Woo Son, Kanghyun Song, Valentina Aquila, Luke D. Oman
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 44/1, 2017, Pagina/e 374-382, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL072035

Time-varying changes in the simulated structure of the Brewer–Dobson Circulation

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Valentina Aquila, Darryn W. Waugh, Luke D. Oman
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero 17/2, 2017, Pagina/e 1313-1327, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physicd journal EGU
DOI: 10.5194/acp-17-1313-2017

Might stratospheric variability lead to improved predictability of ENSO events?

Autori: Chaim I Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 12/3, 2017, Pagina/e 031001, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa60a4

The Downward Influence of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings: Association with Tropospheric Precursors

Autori: Ian White, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Edwin P. Gerber, Martin Jucker, Valentina Aquila, Luke D. Oman
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 32/1, 2019, Pagina/e 85-108, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0053.1

The mixed Rossby-gravity wave on the spherical Earth

Autori: Nathan Paldor, Itzhak Fouxon, Ofer Shamir, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numero 144/715, 2018, Pagina/e 1820-1830, ISSN 0035-9009
Editore: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3354

Nonlinear response of tropical lower-stratospheric temperature and water vapor to ENSO

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Amit Gordon, Luke D. Oman, Feng Li, Sean Davis, Steven Pawson
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero 18/7, 2018, Pagina/e 4597-4615, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-4597-2018

Modulation of the Northern Winter Stratospheric El Niño–Southern Oscillation Teleconnection by the PDO

Autori: Jian Rao, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Rongcai Ren
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, 2019, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0087.1

The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: Arctic stratosphere and Europe

Autori: Israel Weinberger, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Ian P. White, Luke D. Oman
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04805-1

Weakening of the teleconnection from El Niño‐Southern Oscillation to the Arctic stratosphere over the past few decades: What can be learned from subseasonal forecast models?

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Chen Schwartz, Amy H. Butler, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Seok‐Woo Son, Ian P. White
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numero 124, 2019, ISSN 2169-897X
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029961

The Impact of SST Biases in the Tropical East Pacific and Agulhas Current Region on Atmospheric Stationary Waves in the Southern Hemisphere

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0195.1

The Impact of Split and Displacement Sudden Stratospheric Warmings on the Troposphere

Autori: Ian P. White; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Judah Cohen; Martin Jucker; Jian Rao
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research, Numero 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033989

Planetary, inertia–gravity and Kelvin waves on the f ‐plane and β‐plane in the presence of a uniform zonal flow

Autori: Yair De‐Leon; Itzhak Fouxon; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Nathan Paldor
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numero 1, 2021, ISSN 0035-9009
Editore: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4107

Barotropic modes, baroclinic modes and equivalent depths in the atmosphere.

Autori: Yair De-Leon; Nathan Paldor; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Pubblicato in: QJRMS, Numero 4, 2020, ISSN 0035-9009
Editore: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3781

Projected Strengthening of the Extratropical Surface Impacts of the Stratospheric Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation

Autori: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Pubblicato in: Geophsyical Research Letters, Numero 9, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089149

The Salience of Nonlinearities in the Boreal Winter Response to ENSO: North Pacific and North America

Autori: Garfinkel, Chaim I.; Weinberger, Israel; White, Ian P.; Oman, Luke D.; Aquila, Valentina; Lim, Young-Kwon
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 4, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4386-x

The Building Blocks of Northern Hemisphere Wintertime Stationary Waves

Autori: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker; Moran Erez
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0181.1