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Resolving conflicts between food security and biodiversity conservation under uncertainty

Resolving conflicts between food security and biodiversity conservation under uncertainty

Objective

Resolving conflicts between food security and biodiversity conservation under uncertainty

Conflicts between food security and biodiversity conservation are increasing in scale and intensity and have been shown to be damaging for both biodiversity and human livelihoods. Uncertainty, for example from climate change, decreases food security, puts further pressure on biodiversity and exacerbates conflicts.

I propose to develop a novel model that predicts solutions to conflicts between biodiversity conservation and food security under uncertainty. ConFooBio will integrate game theory and social-ecological modelling to develop new theory to resolve conservation conflicts. ConFooBio will implement a three-tiered approach 1) characterise and analyse 7 real-world conservation conflicts impacted by uncertainty; 2) develop new game theory that explicitly incorporates uncertainty; and 3) produce and test a flexible social-ecological model, applicable to any real-world conflict where stakeholders operate under conditions of extreme uncertainty.

The project has importance for society at large because ecosystems and their services are central to human wellbeing. Managing a specific natural resource often results in conflict between those stakeholders focussing on improving food security and those focussed on biodiversity conversation. ConFooBio will illuminate resolutions to such conflicts by showing how to achieve win-win scenarios that protect biodiversity and secure livelihoods. In this project, I will develop a practical, transparent and flexible model for the sustainable future of natural resources that is also robust to uncertainty (e.g., climate change); this model will be highly relevant for environmental negotiations among stakeholders with competing objectives, e.g., the negotiations to set the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals in September 2015.
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Host institution

THE UNIVERSITY OF STIRLING

Address

.
Fk9 4la Stirling

United Kingdom

Activity type

Higher or Secondary Education Establishments

EU Contribution

€ 1 497 151

Beneficiaries (1)

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THE UNIVERSITY OF STIRLING

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 1 497 151

Project information

Grant agreement ID: 679651

Status

Ongoing project

  • Start date

    1 September 2016

  • End date

    31 August 2021

Funded under:

H2020-EU.1.1.

  • Overall budget:

    € 1 497 151

  • EU contribution

    € 1 497 151

Hosted by:

THE UNIVERSITY OF STIRLING

United Kingdom