Probabilistic Assessment of Reduction and Transfer of Natural Earthquake Risk

Projektinformationen

PARTNER

ID Finanzhilfevereinbarung: 704679

DOI 10.3030/704679

Abgeschlossenes Projekt

EK-Unterschriftsdatum 11 März 2016

Startdatum 1 Januar 2017

Enddatum 31 Dezember 2018

Finanziert unter

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Gesamtkosten € 183 454,80

EU-Beitrag € 183 454,80

Koordiniert durch

UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
United Kingdom

Ziel

Seismic risk management in fast-growing populated seismic areas is a challenge for governments and communities in case of catastrophic events. Seismic resilience options are considered to mitigate risk, by either reducing the risk through vibration-control designs of risky assets, or by transferring the risk into the capital markets, through disaster financing options or (re)insurers. Both strategies require a good understanding of the seismic risk, which can be achieved only through thorough ground-motion uncertainty quantification and propagation to structural response, and accurate estimates of damage, cost and downtime estimates of the affected assets.
The current proposal presents a compete framework to analyze the effects of resiliency measures on the overall risk of communities by (1) developing novel probabilistic model to characterize local seismic hazard by using site-specific records, (2) characterizing the exposed assets accurately at high resolution, (3) developing novel and efficient seismic vulnerability models consistent with the seismic hazard and (4) calculating probability distributions of seismic-performance metrics rather than just mean values for a better characterization of the risk. This methodology will be applied to study the risk reduction and transfer effects on communities. Seismic risk-reduction will be achieved through implementation of seismic control devices to structures and risk-transfer is achieved through financing mechanisms, such as catastrophe bonds and other parametric models, used to carry over risk to risk-takers.

Wissenschaftliches Gebiet

• natural sciences › earth and related environmental sciences › geology › seismology
• social sciences › sociology › governance › crisis management › seismic risk management

Programm/Programme

• H2020-EU.1.3. - EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions Main Programme
• H2020-EU.1.3.2. - Nurturing excellence by means of cross-border and cross-sector mobility

Thema/Themen

• MSCA-IF-2015-EF - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Individual Fellowships (IF-EF)

Aufforderung zur Vorschlagseinreichung

H2020-MSCA-IF-2015

Finanzierungsplan

MSCA-IF-EF-ST - Standard EF

Koordinator

UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL

• Netto-EU-Beitrag: € 183 454,80
• Adresse: BEACON HOUSE QUEENS ROAD ; BS8 1QU Bristol ; Vereinigtes Königreich
• Region: South West (England) › Gloucestershire, Wiltshire and Bristol/Bath area › Bristol, City of
• Aktivitätstyp: Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
• Gesamtkosten: € 183 454,80