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Climate Advanced Forecasting of sub-seasonal Extremes

Objective

Climate extremes such as heat waves or tropical storms have huge social and economic impact. The forecasting of such extreme events at the sub-seasonal time scale (from 10 days to 3 months) is challenging. Since the atmosphere and the ocean are coupled systems of enormous complexity, in order to advance sub-seasonal predictability of extreme events, it is crucial to train a new kind of interdisciplinary top-level researchers. CAFE research is structured in three WP: Atmospheric and oceanic processes, Extreme events and Tools for predictability, and brings together an interdisciplinary team of scientists. Objectives: Study of the relation between RWPs and the large scale environment, and the resulting limit of predictability; Statistical characterization of MJO events, dependence on climatic factors, and simple modelling to evaluate predictability; Development of diagnosis tools for identification and tracking of the MJO, blocking, waves and oceanic structures; Analysis of climatic changes in weather patterns and their relation with new climatic phenomena and extreme events in Europe; Estimation of probabilities for severe damages due to extreme events associated to ENSO; Validation of the hypothesis of cascades of extreme events and effects of a non-stationary climate; Estimation of exceedance probabilities for intensity of severe atmospheric events, including windstorms and hurricanes; Assessment of the response of extreme weather events for different levels of stabilized global warming and comparison with their response to internal modes of climate variability; Development of a procedure to improve the predictability of the onset of monsoon; Advanced statistical analysis of dynamic associations between SSS and extreme precipitation events; Study of predictability of large-scale atmospheric flow patterns over the Mediterranean connected to extreme weather; Systematic quantification of the predictability potential of a SWG of analogues of atmospheric circulation.

Coordinator

Consorci Centre de Recerca Matematica
Net EU contribution
€ 501 809,76
Address
Facultad Ciencies Uab Apratado 50
08193 Bellaterra
Spain

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Region
Este Cataluña Barcelona
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00

Participants (9)

POTSDAM-INSTITUT FUR KLIMAFOLGENFORSCHUNG EV
Germany
Net EU contribution
€ 252 788,40
Address
Telegrafenberg A31
14473 Potsdam

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Region
Baden-Württemberg Stuttgart Stuttgart, Stadtkreis
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FORDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN EV
Germany
Net EU contribution
€ 252 788,40
Address
Hofgartenstrasse 8
80539 Munchen

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Region
Bayern Oberbayern München, Kreisfreie Stadt
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET BERGAKADEMIE FREIBERG
Germany
Net EU contribution
€ 252 788,40
Address
Akademiestrasse 6
09599 Freiberg

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Region
Sachsen Chemnitz Mittelsachsen
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Spain
Net EU contribution
€ 250 904,88
Address
Calle Serrano 117
28006 Madrid

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Region
Comunidad de Madrid Comunidad de Madrid Madrid
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
UNIVERSITAT POLITECNICA DE CATALUNYA
Spain
Net EU contribution
€ 250 904,88
Address
Calle Jordi Girona 31
08034 Barcelona

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Region
Este Cataluña Barcelona
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
UNIVERSIDAD DE LA REPUBLICA
Uruguay
Net EU contribution
€ 237 837,96
Address
Avenida 18 De Julio 1824
11200 Montevideo

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Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
METEO-FRANCE
France
Net EU contribution
€ 274 802,04
Address
Avenue De Paris 73
94165 Saint Mande Cedex

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Region
Ile-de-France Ile-de-France Val-de-Marne
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
ARIA TECHNOLOGIES SAS
France
Net EU contribution
€ 274 802,04
Address
Rue De La Ferme 8-10
92100 Boulogne Billancourt

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SME

The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.

Yes
Region
Ile-de-France Ile-de-France Hauts-de-Seine
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS
United Kingdom
Net EU contribution
€ 606 345,12
Address
Shinfield Park
RG2 9AX Reading

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Region
South East (England) Berkshire, Buckinghamshire and Oxfordshire Berkshire
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00

Partners (10)

Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

UNIVERSITE PAUL SABATIER TOULOUSE III
France
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Route De Narbonne 118
31062 Toulouse Cedex 9

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Region
Occitanie Midi-Pyrénées Haute-Garonne
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

UNIVERSITAT DE LES ILLES BALEARS
Spain
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Carretera De Valldemossa Km 7.5
07122 Palma De Mallorca

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Region
Este Illes Balears Mallorca
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET DRESDEN
Germany
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Helmholtzstrasse 10
01069 Dresden

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Region
Sachsen Dresden Dresden, Kreisfreie Stadt
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

HUMBOLDT-UNIVERSITAET ZU BERLIN
Germany
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Unter Den Linden 6
10117 Berlin

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Region
Baden-Württemberg Stuttgart Stuttgart, Stadtkreis
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

UNIVERSIDAD AUTONOMA DE BARCELONA
Spain
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Calle Campus Universitario Sn Cerdanyola V
08290 Cerdanyola Del Valles

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Region
Este Cataluña Barcelona
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

PREDICTIA INTELLIGENT DATA SOLUTIONS SL
Spain
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Benidorm 8 Bajo
39005 Santander

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SME

The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.

Yes
Region
Cantabria Cantabria
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

SERVEI METEROLOGIC DE CATALUNYA
Spain
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Calle Berlin 38-46 4a
08029 Barcelona

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Region
Este Cataluña Barcelona
Activity type
Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

Guy Carpenter
United Kingdom
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
1 Tower Place West
EC3R 5BU London

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Region
London Inner London — West Camden and City of London
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

MUNCHENER RUCKVERSICHERUNGS-GESELLSCHAFT AG
Germany
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Koniginstrasse 107
80802 Munchen

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Region
Bayern Oberbayern München, Kreisfreie Stadt
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
Partner

Partner organisations contribute to the implementation of the action, but do not sign the Grant Agreement.

COMMISSARIAT A L ENERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ENERGIES ALTERNATIVES
France
Net EU contribution
€ 0,00
Address
Rue Leblanc 25
75015 Paris 15

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Region
Ile-de-France Ile-de-France Paris
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00