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Climate Advanced Forecasting of sub-seasonal Extremes

Objective

Climate extremes such as heat waves or tropical storms have huge social and economic impact. The forecasting of such extreme events at the sub-seasonal time scale (from 10 days to 3 months) is challenging. Since the atmosphere and the ocean are coupled systems of enormous complexity, in order to advance sub-seasonal predictability of extreme events, it is crucial to train a new kind of interdisciplinary top-level researchers. CAFE research is structured in three WP: Atmospheric and oceanic processes, Extreme events and Tools for predictability, and brings together an interdisciplinary team of scientists. Objectives: Study of the relation between RWPs and the large scale environment, and the resulting limit of predictability; Statistical characterization of MJO events, dependence on climatic factors, and simple modelling to evaluate predictability; Development of diagnosis tools for identification and tracking of the MJO, blocking, waves and oceanic structures; Analysis of climatic changes in weather patterns and their relation with new climatic phenomena and extreme events in Europe; Estimation of probabilities for severe damages due to extreme events associated to ENSO; Validation of the hypothesis of cascades of extreme events and effects of a non-stationary climate; Estimation of exceedance probabilities for intensity of severe atmospheric events, including windstorms and hurricanes; Assessment of the response of extreme weather events for different levels of stabilized global warming and comparison with their response to internal modes of climate variability; Development of a procedure to improve the predictability of the onset of monsoon; Advanced statistical analysis of dynamic associations between SSS and extreme precipitation events; Study of predictability of large-scale atmospheric flow patterns over the Mediterranean connected to extreme weather; Systematic quantification of the predictability potential of a SWG of analogues of atmospheric circulation.

Call for proposal

H2020-MSCA-ITN-2018
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Coordinator

Consorci Centre de Recerca Matematica
Address
Facultad Ciencies Uab Apratado 50
08193 Bellaterra
Spain
Activity type
Research Organisations
EU contribution
€ 501 809,76

Participants (9)

POTSDAM INSTITUT FUER KLIMAFOLGENFORSCHUNG
Germany
EU contribution
€ 252 788,40
Address
Telegrafenberg 31
14473 Potsdam
Activity type
Research Organisations
MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FORDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN EV
Germany
EU contribution
€ 252 788,40
Address
Hofgartenstrasse 8
80539 Munchen
Activity type
Research Organisations
TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET BERGAKADEMIE FREIBERG
Germany
EU contribution
€ 252 788,40
Address
Akademiestrasse 6
09599 Freiberg
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Spain
EU contribution
€ 250 904,88
Address
Calle Serrano 117
28006 Madrid
Activity type
Research Organisations
UNIVERSITAT POLITECNICA DE CATALUNYA
Spain
EU contribution
€ 250 904,88
Address
Calle Jordi Girona 31
08034 Barcelona
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
UNIVERSIDAD DE LA REPUBLICA
Uruguay
EU contribution
€ 237 837,96
Address
Avenida 18 De Julio 1824
11200 Montevideo
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
METEO-FRANCE
France
EU contribution
€ 274 802,04
Address
Avenue De Paris 73
94165 Saint Mande Cedex
Activity type
Research Organisations
ARIA TECHNOLOGIES SA
France
EU contribution
€ 274 802,04
Address
Rue De La Ferme 8-10
92100 Boulogne-billancourt
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS
United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 606 345,12
Address
Shinfield Park
RG2 9AX Reading
Activity type
Research Organisations

Partners (10)

UNIVERSITE PAUL SABATIER TOULOUSE III
France
Address
Route De Narbonne 118
31062 Toulouse Cedex 9
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
UNIVERSITAT DE LES ILLES BALEARS
Spain
Address
Carretera De Valldemossa Km 7.5
07122 Palma De Mallorca
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET DRESDEN
Germany
Address
Helmholtzstrasse 10
01069 Dresden
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
HUMBOLDT-UNIVERSITAET ZU BERLIN
Germany
Address
Unter Den Linden 6
10117 Berlin
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
UNIVERSIDAD AUTONOMA DE BARCELONA
Spain
Address
Calle Campus Universitario Sn Cerdanyola V
08290 Cerdanyola Del Valles
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
PREDICTIA INTELLIGENT DATA SOLUTIONS SL
Spain
Address
Benidorm 8 Bajo
39005 Santander
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Servei Meteorològic de Catalunya
Spain
Address
Carrer Berlin 38/48
08029 Barcelona
Activity type
Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)
Guy Carpenter
United Kingdom
Address
1 Tower Place West
EC3R 5BU London
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
MUNCHENER RUCKVERSICHERUNGS-GESELLSCHAFT AG
Germany
Address
Koniginstrasse 107
80802 Munchen
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
COMMISSARIAT A L ENERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ENERGIES ALTERNATIVES
France
Address
Rue Leblanc 25
75015 Paris 15
Activity type
Research Organisations