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Paris Agreement Overshooting – Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs

Objective

Overshooting the Paris Agreement temperature thresholds is a distinct possibility. The impacts of such overshoot scenarios would materialise globally, but be particularly consequential for vulnerable regions and systems for which thresholds of abrupt and possibly irreversible shifts or adaptation limits may be exceeded. A full consideration of impacts and adaptation needs under overshoot scenarios thus requires a risk threshold perspective integrating emission pathways, earth system feedbacks, regional to local impacts, and context-specific vulnerabilities.
To address that challenge, PROVIDE will deliver highly innovative, integrative climate services that incorporate comprehensive information on impacts under overshoot pathways from the global to the regional and urban level, directly feeding into adaptation action. The project specifically aims to: 1) Produce global multi-scenario, multi-sectoral climate information which integrates and quantifies impacts across scales by means of novel climate and impact emulators; 2) Assess climate system uncertainties and feedbacks, and the (ir)reversibility of climate impacts to provide comprehensive risk assessments of overshooting; 3) Co-develop a generalisable overshoot proofing methodology for adaptation strategies to enhance adaptation action in response to overshoot risks; 4) Identify and prioritise overshoot adaptation needs in four highly complementary case study regions; 5) Integrate all project outcomes into a PROVIDE Climate Service Dashboard. The Dashboard will be designed to complement established climate service platforms and will be widely disseminated to foster uptake and sustainable use across all stakeholder groups addressed. The PROVIDE consortium is constituted of leading climate scientists as well as climate services purveyors, urban planners and adaptation experts embedded in selected case study regions facilitating a continuous co-development process with a wide array of stakeholders.

Call for proposal

H2020-LC-CLA-2020-2
See other projects for this call

Coordinator

HUMBOLDT-UNIVERSITAET ZU BERLIN
Address
Unter Den Linden 6
10117 Berlin
Germany
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
EU contribution
€ 865 563,75

Participants (17)

CLIMATE ANALYTICS GMBH
Germany
EU contribution
€ 1 079 062,50
Address
Ritterstrasse 3
10969 Berlin
Activity type
Other
VLAAMSE INSTELLING VOOR TECHNOLOGISCH ONDERZOEK N.V.
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 286 875
Address
Boeretang 200
2400 Mol
Activity type
Research Organisations
BUUR BUREAU VOOR URBANISME
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 234 462,50
Address
Sluisstraat 79 Bus 03 02
3000 Leuven
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
CICERO SENTER FOR KLIMAFORSKNING
Norway
EU contribution
€ 161 292,50
Address
Gaustadalleen 21
0349 Oslo
Activity type
Research Organisations
COMMISSARIAT A L ENERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ENERGIES ALTERNATIVES
France
EU contribution
€ 413 750
Address
Rue Leblanc 25
75015 Paris 15
Activity type
Research Organisations
CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS
France
EU contribution
€ 214 875
Address
Rue Michel Ange 3
75794 Paris
Activity type
Other
FCIENCIAS.ID - ASSOCIACAO PARA A INVESTIGACAO E DESENVOLVIMENTO DE CIENCIAS
Portugal
EU contribution
€ 263 072,50
Address
Campo Grande, Edificio C1, Piso 3
1749 016 Lisbon
Activity type
Research Organisations
WEATHER AND CLIMATE SERVICES (PRIVATE) LIMITED
Pakistan
EU contribution
€ 143 262,50
Address
House 88 Street 21-A Sector A Bahria Enclave
44000 Islamabad
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICH
Switzerland
EU contribution
€ 643 595
Address
Raemistrasse 101
8092 Zuerich
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
UNIVERSITAET BERN
Switzerland
EU contribution
€ 241 068,75
Address
Hochschulstrasse 6
3012 Bern
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE
United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 391 830
Address
South Kensington Campus Exhibition Road
SW7 2AZ London
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
UNIVERSITAET INNSBRUCK
Austria
EU contribution
€ 230 000
Address
Innrain 52
6020 Innsbruck
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA
United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 213 348,75
Address
Earlham Road
NR4 7TJ Norwich
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
ARTTIC INNOVATION GMBH
Germany
EU contribution
€ 312 750
Address
Oskar-von-miller-ring 29
80333 Munchen
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
NORDLANDSFORSKNING AS
Norway
EU contribution
€ 173 192,50
Address
Universitetsalleen 11
8049 Bodo
Activity type
Research Organisations
UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA
Canada
EU contribution
€ 0
Address
Agronomy Road 102-6190
V6T1Z1 Vancouver
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
UNIVERSITAET HAMBURG
Germany
EU contribution
€ 126 537,50
Address
Mittelweg 177
20148 Hamburg
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments