Theoretical research in earthquake prediction and identification of zones of high seismic potential

Informations projet

N° de convention de subvention: EV5V0443

Date de début 1 Juillet 1994

Date de fin 31 Juillet 1996

Financé au titre de

• Specific research and technological development programme (EEC) in the field of the environment, 1990-1994

Coût total € 0,00

Contribution de l’UE Aucune donnée

Coordonné par

JOHANN WOLFGANG GOETHE UNIVERSITAET FRANKFURT
Germany

Objectif

To undertake theoretical research in the long-to-short term
prediction of earthquakes, in both deterministic and
probabilistic conceptions, with regard to place, size and time of
strong earthquakes, and to contribute to seismic hazard
reduction. To identify possible zones of seismic potential for
future large earthquakes using historical and modern data and to
study the sociological response to earthquake occurrence.


Analysis of mathematical models and the simulation of earthquake
occurrence with stochastic processes and statistical methods.
Relevance of dynamics and seismicity features for prediction,
analysis of specific maps, and possible criteria for space and
time predictions from short to long term approaches. Specific
methodologies for the complex tectonic setting and diffuse
seismicity in and around EC countries (Greece, Italy, Portugal,
Azores-Gibraltar, Mediterranean and Adriatic Seas) will be
developed.

Updating and revisions of earthquake database and extraction of
historical and recent information for prediction of space time
and magnitude with the interpretation of tectonics of the areas.
Study of rupture process of larger earthquakes, moment rates,
seismic activity rates and b- values will be made. Critical
aspects and limitations of our actual knowledge about earthquake
prediction will be analyzed. Preparation of maps of seismicity
and seismic gaps for possible large earthquakes in the future
will be attempted.

The collective behaviour of people and memory of past events, and
the sociological response to earthquake occurrence, particularly
of destructive earthquakes, will provide new information for
earthquake countermeasures.

Champ scientifique

• natural sciences › computer and information sciences › databases
• natural sciences › earth and related environmental sciences › geology › seismology
• natural sciences › mathematics › applied mathematics › mathematical model

Programme(s)

• FP3-ENV 1C - Specific research and technological development programme (EEC) in the field of the environment, 1990-1994

Thème(s)

• 040101 - Seismic hazard

Appel à propositions

Data not available

Régime de financement

CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinateur

JOHANN WOLFGANG GOETHE UNIVERSITAET FRANKFURT

• Contribution de l’UE: Aucune donnée
• Adresse: Georg-Voigt-Strasse 14 ; 60325 FRANKFURT AM-MAIN ; Allemagne
• Coût total: Aucune donnée

Participants (6)

ARISTOTLE UNIVERSITY OF THESSALONIKI

Grèce

• Contribution de l’UE: Aucune donnée
• Adresse: University Campus ; 54006 THESSALONIKI
• Coût total: Aucune donnée

Centro di Ricerca e Documentazione Febbraio 74

Italie

• Contribution de l’UE: Aucune donnée
• Adresse: Via Flaminia 160 ; 00196 Roma
• Coût total: Aucune donnée

LABORATORIO NACIONAL DE ENGENHARIA CIVIL

Portugal

• Contribution de l’UE: Aucune donnée
• Adresse: 101,Avenida do Brasil 101 ; 1700-066 LISBOA
• Coût total: Aucune donnée

NATIONAL AND KAPODISTRIAN UNIVERSITY OF ATHENS

Grèce

• Contribution de l’UE: Aucune donnée
• Adresse: Panepistimioupolis Ilissia ; 15784 ZOGRAPHOS, ATHENS
• Coût total: Aucune donnée

NERC British Geological Survey

Royaume-Uni

• Contribution de l’UE: Aucune donnée
• Adresse: Nicker Hill ; NG12 5GG Keyworth
• Coût total: Aucune donnée

Université de Nice - Sophia Antipolis

France

• Contribution de l’UE: Aucune donnée
• Adresse: Rue Albert Einstein Sophia Antipolis ; 06560 Valbonne
• Coût total: Aucune donnée