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Ageing, Health Status and Determinants of Health Expenditure

Ageing, Health Status and Determinants of Health Expenditure

Objective

Expenditure on medical treatment has tended to rise as a proportion of national income throughout the European Union. There has been an element of uplift to the mean as countries with low proportions of spending, such as the United Kingdom, have faced political pressure to approach the average EU proportion of their national income on the provision of health services, medical treatment and long-term care. A particular concern is that, with an ageing population and therefore the prospect of more old people around, the pressures for expenditure on health care will increase further. This issue is of concern both in its own terms and because of its fiscal implications. Rising health expenditures put pressure on the targets of the Stability and Growth Pact. They also raise the question whether budgetary targets should be tightened ahead of projected growth in public expenditures, so as to "save up" for future spending and keep expected future tax rates reasonably constant. In this programme of work we will refine existing estimates of the links between reported states of health and use of medical services. As well as looking at the effects of ageing on health care we will take account of the link between health expenditure and fertility rates and the demands on health services made by non-native populations. We will pay particular attention to costs of care near death. A study will be made of factors other than demand (such as methods of financial control) which may influence health spending. An important aspect of our research is that we will carry out our work so as to be able to provide not only the familiar projections and scenarios but also standard deviations and confidence limits for predictions of key variables such as healthy life expectancy and demand-driven expenditure levels. These will allow policy-makers to judge not only possible outcomes but also the risks surrounding them and to assess their implications.

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Coordinator

CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES

Address

Place Du Congres 1
Bruxelles

Belgium

Administrative Contact

Jorgen MORTENSEN (Mr)

Participants (17)

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NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH

United Kingdom

CPB NETHERLANDS BUREAU FOR ECONOMICS POLICY ANALYSIS

Netherlands

DEUTSCHES INSTITUT FUER ERNAEHRUNGSFORSCHUNG

Germany

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Ireland

THE RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF THE FINNISH ECONOMY

Finland

FEDERAL PLANNING BUREAU

Belgium

ISTITUTO DI STUDI E ANALISI ECONOMICA

Italy

INSTITUT FUER HOEHERE STUDIEN

Austria

UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN DENMARK

Denmark

UNIVERSITE DE PARIS IX - DAUPHINE

France

UNIVERSITY OF KENT

United Kingdom

FUNDACION DE ESTUDOS DE ECONOMIA APLICADA

Spain

CENTER FOR SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC RESEARCH FOUNDATION

Poland

INSTITUT OF SLOVAK AND WORLD ECONOMY, SLOVAK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES

Slovakia

INSTITUTE OF ECONOMICS - BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCE

Bulgaria

SOCIAL RESEARCH INFORMATICS CENTER

Hungary

TARTU ULIKOOLI

Estonia

Project information

Grant agreement ID: 502641

  • Start date

    1 February 2004

  • End date

    31 October 2007

Funded under:

FP6-POLICIES

  • Overall budget:

    € 1 511 082

  • EU contribution

    € 1 274 414

Coordinated by:

CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES

Belgium