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Multi-scale data assimilation, advanced wind modeling and forecasting with emphasis to extreme weather situations for a secure large-scale wind power integration

Multi-scale data assimilation, advanced wind modeling and forecasting with emphasis to extreme weather situations for a secure large-scale wind power integration

Objective

The integration of wind generation into power systems is affected by uncertainties in the forecasting of expected power output. Misestimating of meteorological conditions or large forecasting errors (phase errors, near cut-off speeds etc), are very costly for infrastructures (i.e. unexpected loads on turbines) and reduce the value of wind energy for end-users. The state of the art in wind power forecasting focused so far on the "usual" operating conditions rather than on extreme events. Thus, the current wind forecasting technology presents several strong bottlenecks. End-users urge for dedicated approaches to reduce large prediction errors or predict extremes at local scale (gusts, shears) up to a European scale as extremes and forecast errors may propagate. Similar concerns arise from the fields of external conditions and resource assessment, where the aim is to minimize project failure. The aim of this project is to substantially improve wind power predictability in challenging or extreme situations and at different temporal and spatial scales. Going beyond this, wind predictability is considered as a system design parameter linked to the resource assessment phase, where the aim is to take optimal decisions for the installation of a new wind farm. The project concentrates on: using new measuring devices for a more detailed knowledge of the wind speed and energy available at local level; develop strong synergy with research in meteorology; develop new operational methods for the very-short-term for warning/alerting that use coherently collected meteorological and wind power data distributed over Europe to early detect and forecast extreme events; develop models to improve medium term wind predictability; develop a European vision of wind forecasting taking advantage of existing operational forecasting installations at various European end-users. Finally, the new models will be implemented into pilot operational tools for evaluation by the end-users in the project.

Coordinator

ASSOCIATION POUR LA RECHERCHE ET LE DEVELOPPEMENT DES METHODES ET PROCESSUS INDUSTRIELS

Address

Boulevard Saint Michel 60
75272 Paris

France

Activity type

Higher or Secondary Education Establishments

EU Contribution

€ 582 777

Administrative Contact

Mathieu Reboul (Mr.)

Participants (20)

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FUNDACION CENER-CIEMAT

Spain

EU Contribution

€ 287 225

DANMARKS TEKNISKE UNIVERSITET

Denmark

EU Contribution

€ 599 223,75

CARL VON OSSIETZKY UNIVERSITAET OLDENBURG

Germany

EU Contribution

€ 424 560

ENERGY & METEO SYSTEMS GMBH

Germany

EU Contribution

€ 391 521

OVERSPEED GMBH & CO. KG

Germany

EU Contribution

€ 281 295

ENERGINET.DK

Denmark

EU Contribution

€ 63 161

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 416 391

ELECTRICITE DE FRANCE

France

EU Contribution

€ 95 132

EIRGRID PLC

Ireland

EU Contribution

€ 36 552

THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 166 590

UNIVERSIDAD COMPLUTENSE DE MADRID

Spain

EU Contribution

€ 90 061

UNIVERSIDAD CARLOS III DE MADRID

Spain

EU Contribution

€ 76 115

PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.

Greece

EU Contribution

€ 55 200

METEO-FRANCE

France

EU Contribution

€ 81 850

THE ENERGY AND RESOURCES INSTITUTE

India

EU Contribution

€ 84 330

SONI LIMITED

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 35 388

RTE RESEAU DE TRANSPORT D'ELECTRICITE

France

EU Contribution

€ 73 989

ACCIONA ENERGIA S.A.

Spain

EU Contribution

€ 25 200

INSTITUTE OF COMMUNICATION AND COMPUTER SYSTEMS

Greece

EU Contribution

€ 66 520

ENFOR AS

Denmark

EU Contribution

€ 59 319,25

Project information

Grant agreement ID: 213740

Status

Closed project

  • Start date

    1 September 2008

  • End date

    31 August 2012

Funded under:

FP7-ENERGY

  • Overall budget:

    € 5 617 760,80

  • EU contribution

    € 3 992 400

Coordinated by:

ASSOCIATION POUR LA RECHERCHE ET LE DEVELOPPEMENT DES METHODES ET PROCESSUS INDUSTRIELS

France