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Arctic Tipping Points

Arctic Tipping Points

Objective

The broad interdisciplinary consortia assembled in the Arctic Tipping Points (ATP) project will be managed (WP1) to identify the elements of the Arctic marine ecosystem likely to show abrupt changes in response to climate change, and establish the levels of the corresponding climate drivers inducing the regime shift for these tipping elements. ATP will evaluate the consequences of crossing those tipping points, and the associated risks and opportunities for economic activities dependent on the Arctic marine ecosystem. Historical records of Arctic climate change and projections of future changes in Arctic sea climate and ice systems are compiled (WP2), and time series of Arctic ecosystem components analysed using novel statistical tools to detect regime shifts and ecological thresholds and tipping points, and evaluate their sensitivity to climatic forcing (WP3). Experimental manipulations and comparative analyses across broad climatic ranges will be used to detect climatic thresholds and tipping points of Arctic organisms and ecosystems, using genome-wide analyses to develop genomic markers of climate-driven stress useful as early-warning indicators of the proximity of tipping points (WP4). A biological-physical coupled 3 D model will be used to generate future trajectories of Arctic ecosystems under projected climate change scenarios and to identify their consequences for the Arctic ecosystem (WP5). The impacts of abrupt changes in the Arctic ecosystems for activities of strategic importance for the European Arctic and the associated impacts on employment and income will be elucidated, and policies and legislative frameworks to adapt and mitigate these impacts will be analysed (WP 6). The effectiveness of possible alternative, post-Kyoto policies and stabilization targets in avoiding climate-driven thresholds in the Arctic ecosystem will be examined, and the results and projections will be conveyed to policy makers, economic sectors and the public in general (WP7).
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Coordinator

UNIVERSITETET I TROMSOE - NORGES ARKTISKE UNIVERSITET

Address

Hansine Hansens Veg 14
9019 Tromso

Norway

Activity type

Higher or Secondary Education Establishments

EU Contribution

€ 1 620 947,30

Administrative Contact

Elisabeth Halvorsen (Dr.)

Participants (12)

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AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DEINVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS

Spain

EU Contribution

€ 950 212,49

AKVAPLAN-NIVA AS

Norway

EU Contribution

€ 304 696,80

SINTEF FISKERI OG HAVBRUK AS

Norway

EU Contribution

€ 250 000

AARHUS UNIVERSITET

Denmark

EU Contribution

€ 674 966,86

INSTYTUT OCEANOLOGII POLSKIEJ AKADEMII NAUK

Poland

EU Contribution

€ 300 000

THE CHANCELLOR MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE

United Kingdom

EU Contribution

€ 99 610,20

UNIVERSITE PIERRE ET MARIE CURIE - PARIS 6

France

EU Contribution

€ 100 000

CENTRO DE CIENCIAS DO MAR DO ALGARVE

Portugal

EU Contribution

€ 198 404,85

P.P. SHIRSHOV INSTITUTE OF OCEANOLOGY OF RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES

Russia

EU Contribution

€ 99 360

GRONLANDS NATURINSTITUT

Greenland

EU Contribution

€ 99 900

KUNGLIGA VETENSKAPSAKADEMIEN

Sweden

EU Contribution

€ 200 000

MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FORDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN EV

Germany

EU Contribution

€ 99 999,60

Project information

Grant agreement ID: 226248

Status

Closed project

  • Start date

    1 February 2009

  • End date

    31 January 2012

Funded under:

FP7-ENVIRONMENT

  • Overall budget:

    € 6 545 776,09

  • EU contribution

    € 4 998 098,10

Coordinated by:

UNIVERSITETET I TROMSOE - NORGES ARKTISKE UNIVERSITET

Norway