Skip to main content

COronal Mass Ejections and Solar Energetic Particles: forecasting the space weather impact

Objective

This project develops tools for forecasting geomagnetic storms and solar energetic particle (SEP) radiation storms based on scientific data analysis and modeling. During the solar cycle, the Sun goes from quiet conditions at minimum to levels of high activity at maximum, where energetic phenomena, particularly coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and SEPs, are common. These are accompanied by explosive release of mass, magnetic flux and energetic particles which may have damaging effects on satellites and on-board detectors. In extreme cases the effects may even be observed on ground-based systems (e.g. pipelines, power-grids). Returning humans to the Moon with the next possible stop Mars will mean ensuring the safety of the astronauts from these extreme conditions of space, especially the energetic particle environments. This includes particularly the sporadic SEP events that can disrupt the normal functioning of human cells. In this project data analysis and modeling will feed into the development of forecasting tools for both geomagnetic storms and SEPs. The tools will be incorporated into an automated operational European Space Weather Alert system. By analysis of historical data, complemented by the extensive data coverage of solar cycle 23, the key ingredients that lead to magnetic storm and SEP events and the factors that are responsible for false alarms will be identified. To enhance our understanding of the 3D kinematics and interplanetary propagation of CMEs, the structure, propagation and evolution of CMEs will be investigated. In parallel, the sources and propagation of SEPs will be examined and modeled. Based on the insights gained, and making use of algorithms for the automated detection of CMEs, forecasting tools for geomagnetic and SEP radiation storms will be developed and optimised. Validation and implementation of the produced tools into an operational Space Weather Alert system will be performed.

Call for proposal

FP7-SPACE-2010-1
See other projects for this call

Coordinator

INSTITUT ROYAL D'AERONOMIE SPATIALEDE BELGIQUE
Address
Avenue Circulaire 3
1180 Bruxelles
Belgium

See on map

Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Michael Middernacht (Mr.)
EU contribution
€ 518 475

Participants (6)

UNIVERSITAET GRAZ
Austria
EU contribution
€ 234 600
Address
Universitatsplatz 3
8010 Graz

See on map

Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Astrid Veronig (Dr.)
KONINKLIJKE STERRENWACHT VAN BELGIE
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 219 960
Address
Avenue Circulaire 3
1180 Bruxelles

See on map

Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Ronald Van Der Linden (Dr.)
SVEUCILISTE U ZAGREBU
Croatia
EU contribution
€ 175 200
Address
Trg Republike Hrvatske 14
10000 Zagreb

See on map

Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Bojan Vrsnak (Dr.)
DANMARKS TEKNISKE UNIVERSITET
Denmark
EU contribution
€ 220 000
Address
Anker Engelundsvej 1 Bygning 101 A
2800 Kgs Lyngby

See on map

Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Susanne Vennerstrom (Dr.)
ETHNIKO ASTEROSKOPEIO ATHINON
Greece
EU contribution
€ 211 254
Address
Lofos Nymfon
11810 Athina

See on map

Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Joanna Kolliakou (Ms.)
UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL LANCASHIRE
United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 219 229
Address
-
PR1 2HE Preston

See on map

Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Silvia Dalla (Dr.)