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Sensitivity analysis of the impact of geological uncertainties on production forecasting in clastic hydrocarbon reservoirs

Project ID: ENK6-CT-2000-00073
Funded under: FP5-EESD


The principal purposes of SAIGUP are: i) to quantify objectively the sensitivity of geological complexity on production forecasts, as a function of generic aspects of both the sedimentological architecture and faulted structure of shallow marine hydrocarbon reservoirs, and ii) to validate these results using real-case reservoir and production data. Because of the case-specific nature of existing production forecasting sensitivity studies, links between geological and production uncertainty cannot be made at present. These links are a prerequisite for early recognition of the most significant geological parameters influencing production forecasting uncertainty and are a necessary basis for establishing optimal methods for including geological uncertainty in reservoir modelling studies.

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