Obiettivo
Fire regimes result from interactions between climate, land-use and land-cover (LULC), and socioeconomic factors, among other. These changed during the last decades, particularly around the Mediterranean. Our understanding of how they affected fire regime in the past is limited. During this century temperatures, drought and heat waves will very likely increase, and rainfall decrease. These and further socioeconomic change will affect LULC. Additional areas will be abandoned due to being unsuitable for agriculture or other uses. Fire danger and fire hazard are very likely to increase, affecting fire regimes. FUME will learn from the past to understand future impacts. Mod. 1 we will study how LULC and socioeconomics changed and how climate and weather affected fire in dynamically changing landscapes. Fires will be mapped throughout Europe to determine hazard burning functions for LULC types. Since climate has changed, an attempt to attribute (sensu IPCC) fire regime change to climate, differentiating it from socioeconomic change, will be made. Mod. 2 will produce scenarios of change (climate, including extremes, land-use land-cover, socioeconomics, vegetation) for various emissions pathways and three time-slices during this century. With these and results from Mod.1 models and field experiments projected impacts on fire-regime and vegetation vulnerabilities will be calculated, including climate extremes (drought, heat-waves). Mod. 3 will investigate adaptation options in fire- and land-management, including restoration. Fire prevention and fire fighting protocols will be tested/developed under the new conditions to mitigating fire risks. A company managing fire will be a key player. Costs and policy impacts of changes in fire will be studied. Research will focus on old and new fire areas, the rural interface, whole Europe and the Mediterranean, including all Mediterranean countries of the world. Users will be involved in training and other activities.
Campo scientifico
Programma(i)
Invito a presentare proposte
FP7-ENV-2009-1
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Meccanismo di finanziamento
CP-IP - Large-scale integrating projectCoordinatore
13071 Ciudad Real
Spagna
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Partecipanti (31)
46980 PATERNA VALENCIA
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01100 Viterbo
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75794 Paris
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14473 Potsdam
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1749 016 Lisboa
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1049 Bruxelles / Brussel
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73100 Lecce
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07100 Sassari
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92761 ANTONY CEDEX
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10561 Athina
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45110 Ioannina
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22100 LUND
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39005 Santander
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13572 Marseille
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00560 Helsinki
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00185 Roma
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50059 Zaragoza
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28006 Madrid
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28037 Madrid
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1349 017 Lisboa
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1000 Bruxelles / Brussel
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19000 SETIF
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2080 Ariana
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10000 Rabat
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06560 ANKARA
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7735 Cape Town
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CA 94710-0 Albany, California
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85281 Tempe
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20192 Reston
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2522 Wollongong Nsw
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Valdivia
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