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Novel interactions and species’ responses to climate change

Project description

Unlocking the mysteries of evolving ecosystems

Predicting the responses of species, communities and ecosystems to global climate change remains a great ecological challenge. To address this, the NICH project, funded by the European Research Council, aims to unravel the impact of novel competitors on species’ responses to climate change in alpine plant communities. By combining cutting-edge experiments and ecological modelling, it will study the consequences of novel interactions on population persistence and evolutionary responses. The project will also explore the predictive power of species traits in determining the outcome of these interactions, and the implications for species’ range dynamics under climate change. NICH will make a significant contribution to our understanding of climate change impacts and our ability to predict the dynamics of complex ecological systems.

Objective

A great ecological challenges is predicting the responses of species, communities and ecosystems to global climate change. Progress will hinge on our ability to predict how responses are shaped by evolution and species interactions, and especially by entirely novel interactions among species whose ranges don't yet overlap. To tackle this goal, I will combine cutting-edge experiments and process-based modeling to address three questions about the impact of novel competitors on responses to climate change in alpine plant communities:

(1) How will novel interactions impact species responses to climate change? I will test the ecological consequences of novel competitors for population persistence, and the potential for longer-term evolutionary responses, using a whole community transplant experiment that simulates future competitive scenarios faced by focal alpine plants.

(2) Do species traits predict the outcome of novel interactions? A mechanistic understanding of competitive effects is essential to predict impacts of novel interactions. I will test how climate affects the outcome of competition among pairs of species planted along an elevation climate gradient, and whether these effects can be predicted using species’ functional traits.

(3) What are the implications of novel competitive interactions for species’ ranges dynamics under climate change? I will use process-based species distribution models, parameterized with experimental demographic data, to explore the consequences of changing competitive interactions for range dynamics under climate change.

This project will advance our understanding of species’ responses to climate change, and provide tools to apply to a diversity of other systems. It also tackles fundamental questions in ecology, shedding light on the mechanisms shaping species distributions. By linking experimental community ecology and biogeography, it will push the limits of our ability to predict the dynamics of complex ecological systems.

Host institution

EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICH
Net EU contribution
€ 787 925,25
Address
Raemistrasse 101
8092 Zuerich
Switzerland

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Region
Schweiz/Suisse/Svizzera Zürich Zürich
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost
€ 787 925,25

Beneficiaries (2)