Project description DEENESFRITPL Using AI to predict climate change effects on extreme weather Climate change is modifying and enhancing extreme weather events such as heat waves, devastating wildfires, cyclones, floods and droughts. The EU-funded XAIDA project will characterise, detect and attribute extreme events using a novel data-driven, impact-based approach. It will use new AI techniques and bring together specialists in extreme event attribution, atmospheric dynamics, climate modelling, machine learning and causal inference. The findings will shed light on the effect of climate change on atmospheric phenomena like cyclones and convective storms, which are not well understood or quantified. The project will also provide tools to assess the causal pathways leading to extreme events. Show the project objective Hide the project objective Objective Often, extreme events provide representations of the future climate, but not all extremes are harbingers of the future. Thus, in order to be useful for adaptation in support to future projections, a causal link between events and human influence on climate must be established or refuted. This is why the “Extreme event attribution” field has recently developed. However, extreme event detection, attribution and projections studies currently face major limitations.XAIDA will fill these gaps. Using new artificial intelligence techniques, and a strong two-way interaction with key stakeholders, it will (i) characterize, detect and attribute extreme events using a novel data-driven, impact-based approach, (ii) assess their underlying causal pathways and physical drivers using causal networks methods, and (iii) simulate high-intensity and as yet unseen events that are physically plausible in present and future climates.To achieve this, XAIDA brings together teams of specialists in extreme event attribution, atmospheric dynamics, climate modelling, machine learning and causal inference, to:● Understand the effect of climate change on a variety of impacting atmospheric phenomena currently poorly understood or quantified (cyclones, convective storms, long-lived anomalies, or summer compound events), both for past and future evolutions;● Develop, in co-design with a community of key stakeholders, a novel, broader and impacts-based attribution and projection framework which extracts causal pathways of extremes;● Develop storylines of events of unseen intensity, based on machine learning methods;● Provide new tools for model assessment of causal pathways leading to extreme events and investigate the causes of disagreements between models and observations;● Develop an interaction and communication platform with stakeholders with the ambition to improve training and education on climate change and impacts and to bring these developments to future operational climate services Fields of science natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changesnatural sciencescomputer and information sciencesartificial intelligencemachine learning Keywords Future extreme event projections Causal networks Deep Learning Climate change impacts Programme(s) H2020-EU.3.5. - SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials Main Programme H2020-EU.3.5.1. - Fighting and adapting to climate change Topic(s) LC-CLA-12-2020 - Advancing climate services Call for proposal H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 See other projects for this call Sub call H2020-LC-CLA-2020-2 Funding Scheme RIA - Research and Innovation action Coordinator CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS Net EU contribution € 1 026 261,25 Address RUE MICHEL ANGE 3 75794 Paris France See on map Region Ile-de-France Ile-de-France Paris Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 1 061 346,25 Participants (16) Sort alphabetically Sort by Net EU contribution Expand all Collapse all Third-party Legal entity other than a subcontractor which is affiliated or legally linked to a participant. The entity carries out work under the conditions laid down in the Grant Agreement, supplies goods or provides services for the action, but did not sign the Grant Agreement. A third party abides by the rules applicable to its related participant under the Grant Agreement with regard to eligibility of costs and control of expenditure. COMMISSARIAT A L ENERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ENERGIES ALTERNATIVES France Net EU contribution € 35 085,00 Address RUE LEBLANC 25 75015 PARIS 15 See on map Region Ile-de-France Ile-de-France Paris Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 35 085,00 STICHTING VU Netherlands Net EU contribution € 699 175,00 Address DE BOELELAAN 1105 1081 HV Amsterdam See on map Region West-Nederland Noord-Holland Groot-Amsterdam Activity type Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 699 175,00 THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD United Kingdom Net EU contribution € 111 898,75 Address WELLINGTON SQUARE UNIVERSITY OFFICES OX1 2JD Oxford See on map Region South East (England) Berkshire, Buckinghamshire and Oxfordshire Oxfordshire Activity type Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 111 898,75 KONINKLIJK NEDERLANDS METEOROLOGISCH INSTITUUT-KNMI Netherlands Net EU contribution € 260 000,00 Address UTRECHTSEWEG 297 3731 GA De Bilt See on map Region West-Nederland Utrecht Utrecht Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 260 000,00 MET OFFICE United Kingdom Net EU contribution € 260 000,50 Address FITZROY ROAD EX1 3PB Exeter See on map Region South West (England) Devon Devon CC Activity type Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments) Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 260 000,50 MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FORDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN EV Germany Net EU contribution € 314 997,50 Address HOFGARTENSTRASSE 8 80539 Munchen See on map Region Bayern Oberbayern München, Kreisfreie Stadt Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 314 997,50 UNIVERSITAT DE VALENCIA Spain Net EU contribution € 260 015,00 Address AVENIDA BLASCO IBANEZ 13 46010 Valencia See on map Region Este Comunitat Valenciana Valencia/València Activity type Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 260 015,00 UNIVERSITAET LEIPZIG Germany Net EU contribution € 190 290,00 Address RITTERSTRASSE 26 04109 Leipzig See on map Region Sachsen Leipzig Leipzig Activity type Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 190 290,00 DEUTSCHES ZENTRUM FUR LUFT - UND RAUMFAHRT EV Germany Net EU contribution € 379 117,50 Address LINDER HOHE 51147 Koln See on map Region Nordrhein-Westfalen Köln Köln, Kreisfreie Stadt Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 379 117,50 EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICH Switzerland Net EU contribution € 814 768,75 Address Raemistrasse 101 8092 Zuerich See on map Region Schweiz/Suisse/Svizzera Zürich Zürich Activity type Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 814 768,75 HELMHOLTZ-ZENTRUM FUR UMWELTFORSCHUNG GMBH - UFZ Germany Net EU contribution € 430 300,00 Address PERMOSERSTRASSE 15 04318 Leipzig See on map Region Sachsen Leipzig Leipzig Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 430 300,00 THE UNIVERSITY OF READING United Kingdom Net EU contribution € 454 951,25 Address WHITEKNIGHTS CAMPUS WHITEKNIGHTS HOUSE RG6 6AH Reading See on map Region South East (England) Berkshire, Buckinghamshire and Oxfordshire Berkshire Activity type Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 454 951,25 UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION France Net EU contribution € 250 000,00 Address PLACE DE FONTENOY 7 75007 Paris See on map Region Ile-de-France Ile-de-France Paris Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 250 000,00 FOUNDATION POUR L'EDUCATION A LA SCIENCE DANS LE SILLAGE DE LA MAIN A LA PATE France Net EU contribution € 96 473,75 Address 43 RUE DE RENNES 75006 Paris See on map Region Ile-de-France Ile-de-France Paris Activity type Other Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 96 473,75 STICHTING INTERNATIONAL RED CROSS RED CRESCENT CENTRE ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND DISASTER PREPAREDNESS Netherlands Net EU contribution € 64 968,75 Address ANNA VAN SAKSENLAAN 50 2593 HT Den Haag See on map Region West-Nederland Zuid-Holland Agglomeratie ’s-Gravenhage Activity type Other Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 64 968,75 IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE United Kingdom Net EU contribution € 350 938,75 Address SOUTH KENSINGTON CAMPUS EXHIBITION ROAD SW7 2AZ LONDON See on map Region London Inner London — West Westminster Activity type Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Total cost € 350 938,75