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What is controlling plate motions over the minutes to decades timescale?

Project description

Mapping the movements of Earth

Tectonic plates move in patterns that evolve over minutes or years. Satellite systems track these shifts across thousands of kilometres. Some movements precede major earthquakes, but their causes remain unclear. The ERC-funded TectoVision project aims to map these plate motions globally. It will integrate satellite data, computer models, and lab tests to study the ground and reveal how faults respond to deep Earth forces and surface loads. Researchers will focus on high-resolution studies in Chile, as well as establish a new network of sensors in Greece to monitor minor plate shifts. This work connects plate movements to their underlying forces, thereby helping experts assess earthquake risks and further understand the Earth’s crust.

Objective

Tectonic ground observations from Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) increasingly show that plate motions are non-steady. In some instances, these non-steady motions have been suspected as precursory motions to large earthquakes. However, the full spectral behaviour of transient plate motions, across minutes to decades, and kilometres to continental distances, is not well understood. Here, I propose a multi-pronged approach to study how faults and plates worldwide are moving in response to the geodynamical (interior) and geophysical fluid loading/tidal (exterior) boundary conditions. The major questions to address are: How transient is tectonic deformation over the minutes to decades timescale? What are the physical processes controlling the transient plate motions? To what extent are transient plate motions indicative of earthquake imminence? We will reveal the extent of non-linear tectonic motions by developing GNSS processing algorithms and applying these to data from the thousands of tectonic GNSS stations worldwide. With machine learning, numerical modelling, and laboratory experimentation, we will determine to what extent faults are modulated by variable regional tectonics and loading. We will develop kinematic and laboratory modelling strategies to better understand transient tectonic boundary conditions such as transient slab-pull at subduction zones. While analysis will span continental and global scales, we will also investigate the kinematics of faults and fault networks with dense GNSS observations at a higher resolution, using GNSS and seismic data from north-central Chile as well as from laboratory-scale analog modelling to track fault failure in unprecedented detail. In Greece, a world-class example of a seismically hazardous zone of fault-network complexity, we will set up a world’s first low-cost tectonic GNSS network to understand how microplate motions interact with the larger wavelength tectonic boundary conditions of the region.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) ERC-2021-STG

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Host institution

RUHR-UNIVERSITAET BOCHUM
Net EU contribution
€ 1 361 093,75
Address
UNIVERSITAETSSTRASSE 150
44801 Bochum
Germany
Region
Nordrhein-Westfalen Arnsberg Bochum, Kreisfreie Stadt
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
€ 1 361 093,75

Beneficiaries (2)