Periodic Reporting for period 1 - ExPliCit (Exploring Plausible Circular futures)
Reporting period: 2023-01-01 to 2024-12-31
Within this context, this project calls for opening up a debate to deconstruct the increasingly hegemonic discourse of CE based on a technocratic approach and reconstruct it by embedding normative and political dimensions, looking at a plurality of plausible CE futures, and discussing their implications in terms of the organisation of production and distribution networks, also involving a wide set of stakeholders.
Work towards the project objectives has begun during visits among partners, and all project deliverables due to date, along with project milestones, have been completed. Thanks to the solid foundations laid during this initial reporting period, the project appears to be definitely on track for delivering the final research outputs for WP1, WP2 and WP3.
WP1 has focused on identifying circular futures and investigating their key determinants and dynamics. In this context, WP1 includes the development of three knowledge co-production workshops, in which previously identified scenarios have been explored by different stakeholders. Based on an extensive literature review and an iterative co-creation process, the project team has designed four circular economy (CE) scenarios at the intersection of two key dimensions: the governance model (bottom-up, decentralised or top-down, centralised) and the prioritisation of economic growth (a growth-based society or a limits-to-growth society based on ecological boundaries). Details of these scenarios can be found in Deliverables 1.2 and 1.3. Also, the project developed an adaptation of the Scenario Exploration System to the CE futures.
Based on work conducted in WP1, WP2 is exploring different supply chain configurations that will emerge under different socio-political CE scenarios. Results will be available in the forthcoming D2.1 which will provide some evidence of the supply chain characterisations for each of the four CE futures identified in WP1.
Similarly, as regards WP3, based on the features identified for the different CE future scenarios, a number of modelling requirements (i.e. the characteristics that the models should possess in order to properly describe these scenarios) have been developed. These modelling requirements will serve to select the most suitable modelling methodologies commonly used in supply chain dynamics and circular economy. An exhaustive analysis of the modelling methodologies potentially suited to describe the circular scenarios has been conducted and reported in D3.1 with some conceptualisations which will allow simulation models to be applicable across different Circular Supply Chain archetypes.
Also, several papers have discussed the supply chain implications of alternative CE futures, and on early modelling attempts.
The project is contributing to the advancement of CE research across several disciplines.