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Climate effects reduced by Innovative Concept of Operations - Needs and Impacts Assessment

Periodic Reporting for period 1 - CICONIA (Climate effects reduced by Innovative Concept of Operations - Needs and Impacts Assessment)

Reporting period: 2023-07-01 to 2024-12-31

CICONIA’s ambition is to improve the understanding of the generation of non-CO2 emissions with regards to the current aircraft/engine technologies and operating fleet, as well as their evolution and their climate effects, but with the clear objective to evaluate and develop impact reduction solutions covering several promising mitigation options on flight operations, through the definition of innovative Concepts of Operations (CONOPS) and their assessment in comparison to legacy operations. CICONIA wants to define and assess CONOPS solutions with engagement from all concerned stakeholders: Airlines with their OCC, Network, Met providers and Air Traffic Control. CICONIA mitigation options will offer the best proposal for reduction in climate impacts, taking into account both CO2 and non-CO2 climate effects.
TR4 is targeted at the end of the 3 years project.
CICONIA is composed of the four main topics:
1- (WorkPackege 2) A weather service that will improve weather forecasting capabilities tailored for operational mitigation concepts, provide technical enablers definition and recommendation for long term improvement that will feed a better understanding of the stakes,
2- (Workpackage 3) A climate MET service, an enabler that will improve climate impact assessment and models tailored for operational mitigation concepts,
3- (Workpackage 4) CONOPS strategies definition: CICONIA proposes to further analyse how operational stakeholders could integrate mitigations in their plan or in their tactical operations to mitigate climate impacts. A climate enhanced operations CONOPS will be delivered and assessed with representative fast time simulation platforms, integrating weather and climate models, enabling the evaluation of a large area and long time period. These simulations will support the assessment of the complete picture from climate, economics and operational impact points of view, conducting trades on different assumptions, understanding their impact on the decision making and finally providing guidance.
4- (Workpackage 5) An ATM mitigation solution through trials: Investigate multiple ATM strategies for flights to minimise or avoid persistent warming contrails, through operational trials and data analysis. This solution will focus on reducing the climate impact of non-CO2 components, specifically by minimising crossings of persistent, highly warming contrails from aircraft in oceanic airspace.
CICONIA aims as well at providing material to Authorities and Regulators, to analyse the appropriate rulemaking that could serve a fair and uniformed framework to minimise non-CO2 climate effects in a global environmental centric approach addressing as well CO2. Regulations aimed at mitigating non-CO2 effects through operational measures should be proven effective from a climate benefit standpoint, fair from an economic impact on the operator's standpoint, and operationally feasible/acceptable/manageable.

Workpackage 1 is dedicated to project management, and Workpackage 6 to Communication, Dissemination and Exploitation.
Work performed is the following:

In WP2, dedicated to meteorological studies and enabler tools, following deliverables have been produced:
- D2.1 Observations requirements (+12)
- D2.2 Development of observations (+12)
- D2.3 ISSR Dataset (+6)
- D2.5 Humidity methodology (+18)
- D2.7 NWP improvements initial (+18)
- D2.9 MET Data Requirements initial (+12)
- D2.11 MET data for experimentations initial (+12)

In WP3, dedicated to the provision of a Climate MET service for operatord, the following deliverables have been produced:
- D3.2 Advanced MET Service info (+9)
- D3.6 Climate metrics recommendations initial (+12)

In WP4, to define the CICONIA OSED (Concepts of operations)
- D4.1 SPR INTEROP OSED has been delivered as an interim version in January 2024 to support the Project Review #1, and a second interim version is on track to be delivered by January 2025, to support Project Review #2, scheduled on the 9th of April 2025.
- Initial TS/IRS will be delivered by end of Jan 2025, describing the impacts on legacy operations and technical enablers. (Integration in ORBUS tool is still facing blocking issues at the moment)
- Initial STAND and REG documents, describing a first inventory of the impacts on Standards and Regulatory framework, brought by the intermediate description of the OSED.

In WP5, the validation strategy and exercises:
- D5.1 VALP initial (+6)
- D5.2 VALP final (+19) Will be fully described by end of January 2025
- D5.3 VALR initial (+19)
CICONIA has been working on the following enabler technologies
- ISSR forecasting and confidence level; a WIMCOT tool is available for further use in CICONIA trials
- A climate MET service architecture has been initiated.

CICONIA developped (described in the intermediate OSED) 3 operational mitigation options (Airline led for short haul flights, Airline led for long haul flights, and ANSP led).
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