Skip to main content
Go to the home page of the European Commission (opens in new window)
English en
CORDIS - EU research results
CORDIS

Electricity market Hawkeye - An online surveillance tool to detect distortions in the supply-side of electricity markets

Project description

Watching over fair play in power markets

Electricity keeps modern life running (from factories and hospitals to homes), but its production and trade are highly complex and vulnerable to manipulation. When powerful energy companies distort markets, the effects ripple across entire economies and drive up prices for consumers. The ERC-funded e-Hawk project aims to change that by developing an AI-powered tool that automatically detects unusual patterns in electricity supply and pricing. Using only publicly available data and advanced functional statistics, the system learns to spot and explain market irregularities in real time. The goal is to give regulators a smart, efficient way to ensure transparency, fairness, and protection for all energy users.

Objective

While electricity is a basic commodity that underpins industrialization, progress and the quality of life of human beings, its production, storage and transmission is strongly constrained by physical laws and its demand is utterly inelastic. All of this together exacerbates the vulnerability of a sector that is vital to modern societies. A critical and vulnerable sector is not only easily affected by external supply shocks, but also susceptible to manipulation and abuse. Spurred by the conviction that Science must serve the people, in this project we plan to develop and demonstrate the efficacy and usefulness of a tool to automatically alert about atypical distortions in the supply-side of electricity markets, such as those caused by the exercise of market power by energy companies with a dominant position. The tool combines such features that make it unique and the only one of its kind: it runs online and automatically, is purely data-driven, only fed with publicly available information, computationally cheap and able to learn and explain the context under which the distortion is more likely to occur. The scientific heart of the tool is Functional Statistics, and to build it, we will exploit novel notions and techniques for the identification of functional outliers that we developed within the framework of the ERC-STG project FlexAnalytics – Advanced Analytics to Empower the Small Flexible Consumers of Electricity. Our ambition is to equip market regulators and operators with a powerful instrument that not only brings benefits in terms of money saved for consumers, reduced time and effort in supervision and monitoring, and shorter delays in detecting potential offenders, but also and above all, allows regulators to fulfill their most sacred obligation more effectively and efficiently: to protect the weak.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-ERC-POC - HORIZON ERC Proof of Concept Grants

See all projects funded under this funding scheme

Call for proposal

(opens in new window) ERC-2025-POC

See all projects funded under this call

Host institution

UNIVERSIDAD DE MALAGA
Net EU contribution
€ 150 000,00
Address
AVDA CERVANTES, NUM. 2
29016 MALAGA
Spain
Region
Sur Andalucía Málaga
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
No data

Beneficiaries (1)