Objective This interdisciplinary project (combining social and earth sciences) addresses a key gap in the knowledge of global assessments concerning the likely consequences of future climate change on future human wellbeing. More information about the determinants of future adaptive capacity is necessary for setting policy priorities today: Should the significant funds allocated for adaptation be invested in enhancing existing infrastructure or currently practiced agricultural strategies (some of which may not be tenable under future climates), or should they invest alternatively in enhancing human empowerment through education and health which in consequence will enable affected societies to better cope with whatever challenges the future will bring? This study is expected to bring significant progress in this difficult multidisciplinary, yet highly relevant, field through a combination of: (a) New global science-based, long-term projections of human capital (population by age, sex and level of education) as a key element of adaptive capacity; (b) Three empirical multi-national studies on key factors involved in past vulnerability and adaptations to the Sahelian drought, Hurricane Mitch and the Asian tsunami; (c) Three prospective case studies assessing future adaptive capacity for the Phuket region, Mauritius and the Nicobar islands; (d) All held together and put into perspective by the elaboration of a new demographic theory of long-term social change with predictive power. This rather complex project structure is necessary for reaching generalizable and useful results. All components have been designed to complement each other to maximize the chances of achieving path-breaking and at the same time tangible results in this highly complex, multidisciplinary field. All components of the study will build on previous work of IIASA and Wolfgang Lutz and hence minimize the need to acquire additional experience for the case study sites or for the methodology used. Fields of science natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes Keywords Adaptive capacity climate change drought education flooding food security income population projections storms theory of social change Programme(s) FP7-IDEAS-ERC - Specific programme: "Ideas" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013) Topic(s) ERC-AG-ID1 - ERC Advanced Grant Interdisciplinary Panel Call for proposal ERC-2008-AdG See other projects for this call Funding Scheme ERC-AG - ERC Advanced Grant Coordinator INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE Address Schlossplatz 1 2361 Laxenburg Austria See on map Region Ostösterreich Niederösterreich Wiener Umland/Südteil Activity type Research Organisations Principal investigator Wolfgang Lutz (Dr.) Administrative Contact Susan Riley (Ms.) Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window EU contribution € 2 438 402,00 Beneficiaries (1) Sort alphabetically Sort by EU Contribution Expand all Collapse all INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE Austria EU contribution € 2 438 402,00 Address Schlossplatz 1 2361 Laxenburg See on map Region Ostösterreich Niederösterreich Wiener Umland/Südteil Activity type Research Organisations Principal investigator Wolfgang Lutz (Dr.) Administrative Contact Susan Riley (Ms.) Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window
